Feb. Howey-Gauge Poll Was a Joke

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Tuesday April 29, 2008 · 5:38 PM PDT

2008/04/29 · 17:38

The fact that this poll gave Obama a 40-25 edge in Indiana is meaningless. Here's how the questionnaire starts:

CLIENT NAME: HOWEY-GAUGE POLL
DISTRICT: INDIANA STATEWIDE
SAMPLE SIZE: 500 LIKELY VOTERS
FIELD DATES: FEB 17-18, 2008
TOPLINES
Hello, my name is ____________________ with Gauge Market Research. We do not sell anything; we
just conduct various types of surveys. Tonight we are conducting a public opinion survey among
registered voters in Indiana.
I would like to speak to the youngest male, registered voter who is at home now who is eligible to vote in
Indiana elections. (IF NO MALE AVAILABLE, ASK...) May I speak to the youngest registered female
voter who is at home now who is eligible to vote in Indiana elections?

It continues below the fold, but you get the idea. Selecting the youngest male registered voter in the household as the respondent, then if no male is available, selecting the youngest female, is going to skew the sample WAY towards Obama. This is NOT a poll that you'd use as a baseline for anything.

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Tuesday April 08, 2008 · 8:14 AM PDT

2008/04/08 · 08:14

That's their latest. I'd say they were crazy if they hadn't been right before when the other pollsters were reporting a very different picture.

Barack Obama lost ground among certain groups of voters in the battleground state of Pennsylvania during the last week, according to a new poll.

If the Democratic Primary were held in Pennsylvania Tuesday, Hillary Clinton would beat Obama by 18 percentage points, according to the results of a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for NBC 10 and three other TV stations across the Keystone State.

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Wednesday November 07, 2007 · 2:59 AM PST

2007/11/07 · 02:59

Buried in the WaPo business section:

"That was my 'aha!' moment," Klein said. "They're sending the entire Internet to the secret room."

The diagram showed splitters, glass prisms that split signals from each network into two identical copies. One fed into the secret room, the other proceeded to its destination, he said.

"This splitter was sweeping up everything, vacuum-cleaner-style," he said. "The NSA is getting everything. These are major pipes that carry not just AT&T's customers but everybody's."

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Friday October 12, 2007 · 2:48 AM PDT

2007/10/12 · 02:48

That would sure shake things up, wouldn't it? WaPo story here and NH Rep. Jim Splaine's Blue Hampshire Diary here. WaPo first:

"I have a lot of discretion," said Bill Gardner, the 16-term secretary of state of New Hampshire, who is invested with what amounts to dictatorial power to set the date under state law. "We are prepared, if it needs to be early December, it can be early December."

Or it may stick to a date in early January. Gardner is still playing coy, though increasingly less so, with his open hints about December.

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Tuesday July 10, 2007 · 6:13 AM PDT

2007/07/10 · 06:13

Don't worry, it won't be a habit. But I'm sure you were surprised as I was that the author of this morning's "Gonzales lied to Congress" front-page WaPo story was none other than John Solomon. For once he actually did a substantive story with a serious 'gotcha.' (Didn't know that could happen.)

And this came on top of yesterday's WaPo editorial, where Fred Hiatt urged Harry Reid to force the GOP to filibuster if necessary:

If he can't get unanimous consent this week to name conferees [for the lobbying reform bill, which has passed both houses of Congress, but the GOP has blocked cloture on naming conferees], Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) should dare opponents to filibuster.

I don't expect this to be a trend, but credit where credit is due.

Pinochet and the Moral Lepers at the Washington Post

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Tuesday December 12, 2006 · 3:51 AM PST

2006/12/12 · 03:51

Chilean dictator Augusto Pinochet killed 3,000 Chileans, tortured another 29,000, and forced 200,000 into exile. But according to the Washington Post, that's all hunky-dory, because he left Chile with a booming free-market economy. Can't make omelets, and all that. Plus it justifies Jeane Kirkpatrick's support of authoritarian regimes:

It's hard not to notice, however, that the evil dictator leaves behind the most successful country in Latin America. In the past 15 years, Chile's economy has grown at twice the regional average, and its poverty rate has been halved. It's leaving behind the developing world, where all of its neighbors remain mired. It also has a vibrant democracy. Earlier this year it elected another socialist president, Michelle Bachelet, who suffered persecution during the Pinochet years.

Like it or not, Mr. Pinochet had something to do with this success. To the dismay of every economic minister in Latin America, he introduced the free-market policies that produced the Chilean economic miracle -- and that not even Allende's socialist successors have dared reverse. He also accepted a transition to democracy, stepping down peacefully in 1990 after losing a referendum.

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Friday December 08, 2006 · 9:22 AM PST

2006/12/08 · 09:22

The Mother Jones interviewer asked him if he'd like to be Vice President, and here's his response:

No. But anybody that runs for the president will have to go through Ohio, literally and figuratively. The Democrats need to nominate somebody that will be an economic populist, that will stand up for the middle class, that doesn't just want to increase the minimum wage but somebody that will work to put the government on the side of working families. And that means different trade policy, standing up to the drug industry, taking on the oil industry. It means showing that the Democratic Party is a progressive, populist party.

Doesn't that just warm your heart? We've all been waiting a long time to hear Dems say stuff like this.

The new Senate has Sherrod Brown, Jim Webb, Jon Tester, and Bernie Sanders. We've got some good times ahead, friends.

Dept of Commerce: "startling number" of Reagan-Churchill parallels

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Thursday November 30, 2006 · 6:49 AM PST

2006/11/30 · 06:49

All D.C.-area Department of Commerce employees just got the following email:

FOR: All DOC Employees located in the Herbert C. Hoover Building and in the Washington Metropolitan Area

Please join Dr. Samspon as he hosts author, Steven Hayward, here at the Herbert C. Hoover Building on Wednesday, December 6th. Hayward will discuss his unexpected discovery, during his ongoing biographical research and writing about the Reagan presidency, of the startling number of parallels and similarities between Reagan and Winston Churchill, which led him to write an entirely separate book, Greatness: Reagan, Churchill, and the Making of Extraordinary Leaders. Hayward will outline these parallels and distill what can be learned and applied from them today.

Bolding mine. Seems to me that, no matter how evangelical the author is, the DOC press release might be a bit more circumspect. But then, I'm not trying to turn the entire U.S. government into a right-wing propaganda organ.

Look Who WaPo Just Put In Charge of National News

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Saturday November 25, 2006 · 7:47 AM PST

2006/11/25 · 07:47

A big welcome, everyone, to Susan Glasser, the WaPo's new head honcho over national news. In 1998, Glasser "helped to direct The Post's coverage of the Monica Lewinsky investigation and the impeachment of President Bill Clinton," and she's more recently been editor of the Post's Outlook section, which is its Sunday expanded op-ed section.

I honestly don't know that much about Glasser, but we know what the WaPo's coverage of Clinton/Lewinsky was like. And just as an example of her work on the Outlook section, consider the Sunday, November 12 edition.

This was the Sunday after a rather important midterm election. Glasser wasted none of her eight pages to discussion of what the midterm results meant. Instead, she devoted a huge chunk of the section to...the 2008 Presidential race. Yes, indeedy, we can't waste any time on analysis: we gotta jump right into the next horse race.

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Sunday November 12, 2006 · 3:30 PM PST

2006/11/12 · 15:30

Part of the wave that swept Reagan into the White House, and a GOP majority into the Senate in 1980, was the so-called "Sagebrush Rebellion," a movement in the interior West that was strongly opposed to governmental restrictions on the use of Federal lands, which comprise a significant portion of the land in every Rocky Mountain state.

The so-called rebellion was fueled by the usual combination of corporations and rich individuals that wanted to exploit those lands for profit, but of course it was sold as a libertarian/states-rights struggle of the Little Guy against the Big Bad Federal Government. Plenty of voters swallowed what they were peddling, so the Dems lost Senate seats that year in Idaho, Alaska, Washington, and South Dakota, among others.

As a result of Tuesday's elections, I think we can finally declare an end to that movement. After years of barely showing up in the Rockies, we've proved we've got game in that part of the country. The Sagebrush Rebellion is over. Read More

New Population Survey of New Orleans and Nearby Parishes

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Friday October 06, 2006 · 7:17 AM PDT

2006/10/06 · 07:17

Details here.

In a nutshell:
New Orleans (Orleans Parish) had 485,000 people in 2000; it's got 188,000 people now. St. Bernard Parish, down from 67,000 to 25,000.

Jefferson and Plaquemines parishes did somewhat better: Jefferson's down from 456,000 to 436,000; Plaquemines is down from 27,000 to 20,000. Jefferson Parish is immediately south of New Orleans, across the Mississippi; Gretna, where the sheriff and his gun-wielding troops blocked the New Orleans refugees from crossing the bridge to safety, is in Jefferson. Plaquemines Parish is the toe of the Louisiana boot.

Bush, Bogart, and bin Laden

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Friday September 15, 2006 · 3:37 PM PDT

2006/09/15 · 15:37

Bogey, in The Maltese Falcon:

When a man's partner is killed, he's supposed to do something about it. It doesn't make any difference what you thought of him. He was your partner and you're supposed to do something about it. And it happens we're in the detective business. Well, when one of your organization gets killed, it's-it's bad business to let the killer get away with it, bad all around, bad for every detective everywhere.

Same here. Osama bin Laden killed over 3000 of our fellow Americans, in New York and Virginia and Pennsylvania, in Dar Es Salaam and Nairobi, and on board the USS Cole. When 3000 Americans get killed, we're supposed to do something about it. It's bad business to let the killer get away with it. But that's exactly what Bush seems quite willing to do.

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Feb. Howey-Gauge Poll Was a Joke

SUSA: Clinton up by 18 in Pennsylvania?!

"This splitter was sweeping up everything, vacuum-cleaner-style"

WaPo: NH Primary December 11?

Forced to say nice things about Fred Hiatt, John Solomon

Pinochet and the Moral Lepers at the Washington Post

Sherrod Brown's Great MoJo Interview

Dept of Commerce: "startling number" of Reagan-Churchill parallels

Look Who WaPo Just Put In Charge of National News

R.I.P. Sagebrush Rebellion

New Population Survey of New Orleans and Nearby Parishes

Bush, Bogart, and bin Laden