Please help me . . .

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday June 09, 2008 · 8:53 AM PDT

2008/06/09 · 08:53

understand!!!
New AOL STRAW POLL is out at http://news.aol.com/...

In previous weeks, Obama would always lose to HRC even after it became obvious that he was in and she was out.

So now he is running against McCain in the poll and McCain is now up.

Poll

44 votes Show Results

AOL Straw Poll

44 votes Vote Now!

AOL Straw Poll

is crazy man!!!

13 votes

makes me worried.

5 votes

What's AOL?

26 votes

VOTE Obama now in Puerto Rico on-line

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday May 25, 2008 · 7:46 PM PDT

2008/05/25 · 19:46

There is a vote now HRC v. Obama on a Puerto Rico web site.

Please go there and vote Obama. Perception is important.

They are urging on hillaryis44 her supporters to go vote.

Poll

187 votes Show Results

I did your what you asked

187 votes Vote Now!

I did your what you asked

Yes

163 votes

6 votes

I have a problem with authority

18 votes

OBAMA declares victory on June 2, 2008

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday May 20, 2008 · 11:39 AM PDT

2008/05/20 · 11:39

Obama will, no later than June 2, 2008 have the needed 2025 delegates to declare victory. How you ask! Well, read on;

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday May 15, 2008 · 1:37 PM PDT

2008/05/15 · 13:37

Let's have all KY predictions here for the Democratic Primary on May 20, 2008.

Please be specific and include all requested info.
Predictions are KY only.

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday May 07, 2008 · 10:59 AM PDT

2008/05/07 · 10:59

that she is the likely democratic nominee after she had successfully persuaded Congress to admit Mexico as a state/territory with voting rights. This she believes will allow her to come close to erasing Obama’s pledge delegate lead and will propel her to a clear popular vote lead.

Poll

111 votes Show Results

Zogby is

111 votes Vote Now!

Zogby is

Jesus

11 votes

Hillary is DOA

11 votes

Barack like pie

19 votes

This poll makes sense

17 votes

What???

53 votes

FINAL Zogby Poll here

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday May 05, 2008 · 9:05 PM PDT

2008/05/05 · 21:05

Let's read through this and comment on it below:

White vote seems consistent with PPP and Insider Advantage in Indiana.

ALSO SUFFOLK HAD 49-43 FOR hrc TODAY LAST POLL. HOWEVER, 46 YEARS AND OLDER WERE 75% OF THE SAMPLE. 25 AND YOUNGER ONLY 2% AND oBAMA STILL HELD HIS OWN IN THAT INDIANA POLL. ALSO THEY HAD 15% BLACK VOTE AND THAT IS ENCOURAGING. MOST POLLS SHOW BLACK VOTERS COME FROM YOUNGER VOTERS BUT IN THIS OLD DEMOGRAPHIC POLL THEY FOUND 15% BLACK VOTERS.

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday May 03, 2008 · 10:00 PM PDT

2008/05/03 · 22:00

Not bad for Obama

Hopefully Zogby has it like TX, PA, MO and not like CA

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday May 02, 2008 · 1:23 PM PDT

2008/05/02 · 13:23

that was the MSM reporting and now he is back.

The Gallup tracking that peaked with HRC +4 is now back down to HRC +2. Look at these numbers over the next 3 days. If he can go up to Obama +4 then he is good.

NC polls are also good, ARG, Zogby, Rasmussen and even Insider Adavantage. IA that had her up +2 just did a new one and it's Barack up by +5.

Poll

353 votes Show Results

Barack will do

353 votes Vote Now!

Barack will do

Better than I expect

305 votes

Worse than I expect

48 votes

Predicting IN and error in SUSA, PPP and Howey-Gauge last polls

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday April 29, 2008 · 8:29 PM PDT

2008/04/29 · 20:29

The three latest polls seem to give HRC a decent advantage in IN. However, a closer look at cross tabs paints a different picture so please hang in here with me.

Poll

62 votes Show Results

You are right on

62 votes Vote Now!

You are right on

IN but wrong NC

6 votes

NC but wrong on IN

20 votes

neither

13 votes

both.

22 votes

Predicting NC final result

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday April 25, 2008 · 10:09 AM PDT

2008/04/25 · 10:09

With 10-11 days to go it would be good to get some predictions on NC out so that we can compare later on May 7th.

Poll

92 votes Show Results

Am I right or Am I right

92 votes Vote Now!

Am I right or Am I right

YES

74 votes

18 votes

PA prediction

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday April 22, 2008 · 7:52 AM PDT

2008/04/22 · 07:52

RCP has this race at 6.1% for HRC. On the day of OH primary they had OH at 7.1%.
The "four pollsters" that are considered most reliable are Ras, SUSA, PPP and Quin. In OH these "four good pollsters" had Hillary up in their last polls up by 8.25% (very close to actual 10%) and they all showed in their last polls HRC picking up steam in OH.

However, now in PA they have her only up 49% - 45.25% or 3.75% and it's actually Obama picking up steam somewhat.

Poll

56 votes Show Results

AA vote will be

56 votes Vote Now!

AA vote will be

13%

2 votes

14%

1 vote

15%

3 votes

16%

6 votes

17%

4 votes

18%

9 votes

19%

4 votes

20%

8 votes

21%

4 votes

22%

15 votes

PA and why it will be very close

adocarbog

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday April 21, 2008 · 8:19 AM PDT

2008/04/21 · 08:19

PA needs to be compared to OH.
The last polling data on RCP showed HRC up 7.1% with last polling. Zogby there was keeping the average down for HRC wrongly. Zogby has been fairly discredited this election year so I will leave it out.
Good polls seem to be SUSA, PPP, Rasmussen and Quin.

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Please help me . . .

VOTE Obama now in Puerto Rico on-line

OBAMA declares victory on June 2, 2008

Give me your KY predictions

Breaking: Hillary declares

FINAL Zogby Poll here

New Zogby IN and NC just out

Barack has survived the storm

Predicting IN and error in SUSA, PPP and Howey-Gauge last polls

Predicting NC final result

PA prediction

PA and why it will be very close