Minnesota: O + 11 (SurveyUSA)

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 5:02 PM PST

2012/11/04 · 17:02

From Tom Hauser tweets:

Obama increases his lead from 7 to 11.

KSTP/SurveyUSA: New poll shows Obama leading Romney 52% to 41%. Margin of Error +-4.%. Obama lead was 7 points earlier this week. Now 11.
— Tom Hauser (@5hauser) November 4, 2012

WaPo-ABC tracking poll: O + 1

bino123

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 2:13 PM PST

2012/11/04 · 14:13

O49 - R48. It was tied yesterday. Tomorrow, all the national polls and state polls will be converging.

About the president's job approval

A split verdict on Obama’s job performance still undergirds the tightly competitive contest: 50 percent approve of the way he is handling the presidency, and 49 percent disapprove. But Obama does carry some advantages into the election.

About leadership

The president has a 10 percentage-point lead over Romney when it comes to whom voters trust more to handle an unexpected crisis. Obama also has twin, six-point leads as the “stronger leader” and the one who is more in touch with the economic problems people in the country are having.

About the enthusiasm gap bs

Another, potential important edge for Obama is on enthusiasm. With just two days to go, 69 percent of his supporters call themselves “very enthusiastic,” compared with 62 percent of Romney’s. Enthusiasm for both candidates has increased sharply over the course of the campaign.

Link

http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

IA: O + 2 (PPP)

bino123

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 1:54 PM PST

2012/11/04 · 13:54

From PPP tweets:

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Our final Iowa poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-48. Obama's up 61/39 among those who already voted

Pennsylvania: O + 3 (Morning Call/Muhlenberg)

bino123

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 9:04 AM PST

2012/11/04 · 09:04

O is ahead 49 percent to 46 percent. I can't wait for this to be over!!!!

This week, the Philadelphia Inquirer showed Obama up 6 points, Franklin & Marshall College had him up 4 points and this morning the Pittsburgh Tribune Review reported the race as tied. Nationally, most polls show the race as dead even.
Still, in Pennsylvania, it's a climb for Romney to move those final points, says Muhlenberg College pollster Chris Borick.

"When you see poll results like ours you see it's a very competitive race in Pennsylvania," Borick said. "With the polls showing Obama with a 3-6 point lead, the question remains what is the Republican recipe to erase that? even though it's on the low end that's still a challenge of hundreds of thousands of votes that Romney has to find. Can that combination emerge from better than expected performance in the Philly burbs? Possible, but not probable"

Link

http://www.mcall.com/...

On her MSNBC show on friday, Rachel Maddow explained why past Republican candidates traveled to Pennsylvania over the last few days of their campaigns.

The reason they do this every year is because they want to be seen as super confident. They want to be seen as so confident they are expanding the map. They want to create the impression that, not only are they going to win, they’re going to win big. So they don’t even need to go to any of these so-called battleground states anymore; they’ve locked all of those up. They’ve already got the meat and potatoes; they’re going for gravy. They’re going to start going to exotic states that nobody thinks they’re going to win because they’re going to win those states, too. It’s going to be a landslide.
It’s trash talk, right? You can understand why they are doing this, but there’s no reason to pretend that it is unprecedented and there’s no reason just to write down the spin instead of checking the facts about whether their argument actually makes sense.
Checking the facts is very easy to do. Look at the polling in Pennsylvania. There have been two dozen polls in Pennsylvania since August first. Of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does President Obama lead in? Twenty-four of the 24. Every single one.

http://www.mediaite.com/...

NH: O50 - R45 (New England College)

bino123

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Friday November 02, 2012 · 5:31 AM PDT

2012/11/02 · 05:31

Good news. Obama up 5 (49.5 to 44.4).

In the race for President, among 1017 respondents, 49.5% said they would vote for President Barack Obama, 44.4% said they would vote for Mitt Romney, 2.4% indicated they would vote for another candidate and 3.7% said they were not sure. The margin of error is 3.7%. The President gained slightly from last week’s NEC poll and Mr. Romney dropped a point, as the number of undecided voters begins to decline.

“The gender gap exists with President Obama maintaining a strong lead among women; while men have a more competitive split between the two candidates,” explains Dr. Ben Tafoya, director of the Polling Center in NEC’s Center for Civic Engagement. “If Governor Romney is going to close the gap on the President he will need to perform significantly better among women.”

The President has strong support from Democrats leads among Independents; while Governor Romney has strong support among Republicans. Mr. Obama holds 95% percent support among Democrats; Mr. Romney holds 89% support among Republicans. In the race for Independent voters in New Hampshire, the President has a 49%-39% edge.

Link

http://www.nec.edu/...

Nevada: O50 - R46 (Survey USA)

bino123

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Thursday November 01, 2012 · 5:07 AM PDT

2012/11/01 · 05:07

Obama widens his lead, from (+3) to (+4). A SurveyUSA poll two weeks ago had Obama 3 points ahead, 48-45.

Obama was leading Romney among those who said they already voted by 6 points, 52-46

Romney was edging Obama, 47-46, among voters who said they planned to cast ballots on Election Day

The GOP challenger would have to do far better to overcome the president's growing edge as Democrats outpace Republicans in early and absentee voting by 35,000 ballots statewide.

The SurveyUSA poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 23 through Monday, using a mix of cellphones and landlines and English or Spanish, depending on respondents' choice. The poll surveyed 1,212 likely voters and those who had already voted. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

link

http://www.lvrj.com/...

Reuters/Ipsos: O up (+3) in OH; (+2) IN VA; (-1) in CO, Tied in FL

bino123

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Wednesday October 31, 2012 · 4:15 PM PDT

2012/10/31 · 16:15

Colorado: Obama 45% Romney 46%

Ohio: Obama 48% Romney 45%

Florida: Obama 47% Romney 47%

Virginia: Obama 48% Romney 46% (LV)
Obama 54% Romney 37% (RV)

In Virginia, Obama leads by a narrower margin of 48 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, within the credibility interval of 4.2 percentage points. Among all registered voters, Obama leads by a much wider margin of 54 percent to 37 percent.

Obama led Romney by 53 percent to 41 percent among the 1,660 respondents who said they had already voted.

In Ohio, Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown led Republican Josh Mandel by 49 percent to 41 percent.
In Florida, Democratic Senator Bill Nelson led Republican Connie Mack by 52 percent to 42 percent among likely voters.

Only in Virginia did the Senate race mirror the presidential race. Democrat Tim Kaine led Republican George Allen by 2 percentage points, well within the survey's credibility interval.

Link

http://www.reuters.com/...

ABC/Wapo tracking: O 48 - R 49

bino123

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Friday October 26, 2012 · 9:07 AM PDT

2012/10/26 · 09:07

This is a shift from yesterday’s 50 to 47 percent for Romney. O (+1) R (-1)

Link

http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

New Hampshire poll: O49 - R46 (New England College)

bino123

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Friday October 26, 2012 · 5:50 AM PDT

2012/10/26 · 05:50

The poll called land lines and cellphones of 571 respondents and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent. The survey was conducted Oct. 23-25.

The automated survey found President Barack Obama leading his Republican challenger Mitt Romney within the margin of error at 49 percent to 46 percent and 2 percent saying some other candidate. About four percent were undecided.

“The poll shows candidates for president have different strengths,”said Tafoya. “President Obama has a solid lead for voters under the age of 65. However, former Governor Romney leads with those over the age of 65. This is a similar trend to the voting in 2008 when then candidate Obama had a smaller margin over Senator McCain among older voters.”

Link

http://www.wmur.com/...

BREAKING: GDP rises 2 % in third-quarter

bino123

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Friday October 26, 2012 · 5:40 AM PDT

2012/10/26 · 05:40

That's good news, higher than expected. Economists predicted +1.8%. Economic growth is picking up in the third quarter thanks to increase in consumers spending. The economy is bouncing back.

http://www.reuters.com/...

NewsmaxZogby Virginia Poll: O 49 - R 46

bino123

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Wednesday October 24, 2012 · 10:23 AM PDT

2012/10/24 · 10:23

Sample is 37D, 36R, 27I.

The online poll of 827 likely voters was conducted Sunday, Oct. 21, through Tuesday, Oct. 23, and has a margin-of-sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.