Romney's PA crowd tonight draws 20-30K

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 5:00 PM PST

2012/11/04 · 17:00

According to Fox News, the Secret Service let 20,000 people through the gates into tonight’s Romney rally in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. Some twitter reports put the crowd at between 25,000 and 30,000. A picture of the crowd can be seen in the link below.

George W. Bush campaigned at the same venue just five days before the election in 2004, drawing a crowd of 23,000, though he went on to lose Pennsylvania to John Kerry by 2.5 percentage points.

Who would have thought PA would be as competetive at this stage in the game as Ohio currently is.

Picture of crowd

Romney, Obama buying TV ads in Pennsylvania

boomersun

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Tuesday October 30, 2012 · 10:59 AM PDT

2012/10/30 · 10:59

Two media-tracking sources informed Politico that Mitt Romney's campaign has started reserving television time in Pennsylvania for the final two days of the campaign.

"The initial placements come as the pro-Romney super PAC Restore Our Future is buying over $2 million in time there, and as Crossroads is also going up with a buy over $600,000. The Obama campaign, forced to expend resources there, has responded with a defensive buy of over $600,000."

I know we have the edge in Pennsylvania but I'd rather not be outspent nearly 5 to 1 there. It's a race we should win but it's not a lead that is insurmountable. Any idea as to how Sandy might effect turnout in Philadelphia? Looks like Philly was spared the worst of it.

Politico link

Colorado Early Voting statistics

boomersun

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Wednesday October 24, 2012 · 12:45 PM PDT

2012/10/24 · 12:45

With two days of early voting in the books for Colorado, 325,000 votes have been cast. This makes up almost 10% of the active registered voters.

Republicans have a slight edge in voter registration overall in Colorado. Here are the early voting stats so far.

Of the ballots cast so far, 39% have been from Republicans, 37% from Democrats, and 27% from unaffiliated voters.

The breakdown on Oct 23, 2008 showed only 85,000 early votes being cast. Of those, 40% were Democrats, 33% Republicans and 27% unaffiliated.

I imagine that this gap will shrink over the next couple weeks and be what it was in 2008.

Rasmussen: R 50%, O 46%

boomersun

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Tuesday October 23, 2012 · 6:52 AM PDT

2012/10/23 · 06:52

Rasmussen has Romney up 4%, the most he has been up in quite a while. Obviously, the results would not include any polling after last night's results. We'll see if the debate produces any lasting bounce. At this point, all but the tiniest slice of the electorate has their mind made up so I'd be surprised if the debate does much for either Romney or Obama.

PPP's tracking poll has Romney +2. Call me a "concerned person, but it seems to me that ever since the first debate Romney has had a slow moving momentum that cuts Obama's lead down a point or two every week.

Post-Debate Ohio Poll: O 49%, R 48%

boomersun

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Thursday October 18, 2012 · 7:15 AM PDT

2012/10/18 · 07:15

Rasmussen posted a poll done in Ohio that was conducted last night. It shows Obama with 49%, Romney with 48%. It really showed no movement for either candidate compared to where they stood 10 days ago, where Rasmussen showed Obama with 48% and Romney with 47%.

I think at this point all but 1 or 2% of voters in Ohio have their minds made up and no debate performance, good or bad, will result in much of a swing.

Rasmussen's national poll tracker this morning shows Obama down by 2% points compared to being down by 1% yesterday.

PBS online poll about Palin: please vote!

boomersun

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Wednesday October 08, 2008 · 3:14 PM PDT

2008/10/08 · 15:14

PBS has an online poll posted asking if Sarah Palin is qualified. Apparently the right wing knew about this in advance and are flooding the voting with YES votes.

The poll will be reported on PBS and picked up by mainstream media. It can influence undecided voters in swing states.

Please do two things -- takes 20 seconds.

Click on link and vote yourself.

Here's the link: http://www.pbs.org/...

Then send this to every single Obama-Biden voter you know, and urge them to vote and pass it on.

The last thing we need is PBS saying their viewers think Sarah Palin is qualified.

Stop obsessing over Palin, it's embarrassing.

boomersun

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Thursday September 04, 2008 · 10:14 AM PDT

2008/09/04 · 10:14

If I didn't know any better, from reading these diary entries I would assume that a) it is Obama vs. Palin, and b) Palin is a very serious threat.

The more we obsess over Palin, the more we'll get off message and risk diluting the sustained attacks that have been made on McCain over the past few months. Moreover, the more we talk about her, the more it seems we think of her as a serious threat to Obama. Besides, the more people see us talking about her, the more they will think that we think she is a serious threat.

We need to be fighting McCain, not Palin. McCain, for many purposes, is a less attractive candidate than Palin. He does not fire up his base like she does, and he frankly just isn't as attractive or as good as a speaker.

Michelle's speech too late in the night?

boomersun

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Monday August 25, 2008 · 4:05 PM PDT

2008/08/25 · 16:05

I recently read that Michelle Obama will be giving her speech tonight at 10:25pm eastern time. Anybody think that the speech should be earlier in the night? A lot of people head to bed around 10:00. Heck, my mother-in-law is in bed at 9:00...I'm wondering why they decided to have it so late in the night. I would imagine many of those old-timers down in Florida will have the lights off right when the lights shine on Michelle.

McCain up 5% in Ohio, up nationwide in 2 other polls.

boomersun

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Wednesday August 20, 2008 · 7:18 AM PDT

2008/08/20 · 07:18

So Rasmussen has a poll showing McCain up by 5% in Ohio, GWU\Battleground has a poll showing McCain up by 1% nationwide,Reuters Zogby has McCain up by 5% nationwide. For all those Obama supporters who do not like bad news, just keep saying to yourself that polls don't matter and that young voters will make all the difference and that we have the power, etc. For those who do see an issue with the fact that Obama has been on mostly a downnward slide (poll wise) since he got the nomination, see below. I've worked on campaigns before, although nothing like a prez campaign, and have studied campaigns and elections, so I feel I do have some good suggestions.

boomersun

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Tuesday August 19, 2008 · 2:12 PM PDT

2008/08/19 · 14:12

A new poll out of LA Times came out today showing Obama up by 2%. Some might say 2% is not a lot. But at least it's something, especially given that some of those tracking polls have them tied. Also, in another poll out today Obama is up by a good 5% in Pennsylvania, which is outside the margin of error.

boomersun

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Sunday August 17, 2008 · 6:51 PM PDT

2008/08/17 · 18:51

A poll out of Public Policy Polling has McCain and Obama tied at 45% each. Last month, PPP showed Obama up by 8%. Link

boomersun

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Monday August 04, 2008 · 2:22 PM PDT

2008/08/04 · 14:22

A new Suffolk University poll found that Obama is beating John McCain by 9%...in Massachusetts. In June, the poll found that Obama was up by 23%. This seems to be in line with the tightening national polls and other statewide polls (i.e., the Qunnipac poll out of FL & OH.) In my opinion, there's a simple reason - McCain attacks Obama, Obama plays defense, McCain defines Obama, Obama plays it safe.

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Romney's PA crowd tonight draws 20-30K

Romney, Obama buying TV ads in Pennsylvania

Colorado Early Voting statistics

Rasmussen: R 50%, O 46%

Post-Debate Ohio Poll: O 49%, R 48%

PBS online poll about Palin: please vote!

Stop obsessing over Palin, it's embarrassing.

Michelle's speech too late in the night?

McCain up 5% in Ohio, up nationwide in 2 other polls.

Obama up by 2% in LA Times Poll

New Ohio poll: Obama and McCain tied

Obama up 9% in Mass., down from +23% in June.