Hillary PACman eats the others.
Warning! Use of statistics and pie(charts) ahead!
I like statistics and graphs. During Obama's election campaigns I had a blast. I'd start here at DKos, then on to TPM polltracker, Pollster.com, 538, Princeton Election Consortium, Votamatic ... but I wasn't addicted. I could have stopped anytime. And then it stopped. I got bored and missed the daily fun. No 538's statistics or Votamatic's dynamic Bayesian forecasting model, nothing. Even historical models build on metrics like change in GDP, Presidential approval data, party approval, etc. Metrics that are not relevant until we get closer to the election.
So then, what's available?
What was available is odds from online bookmaking websites. Is the data a reliable indication of the 2016 presidential result? No, not at all. The data is an indication of how professional odds makers earn money off of rubes by turning a percent chance into odds, and getting the rubes to waste their money chasing the elusive "big score".
More subjective musings under the orange dog hair fluff.
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