I sat to thinking today. What will happen if Joe Lieberman either wins as an independant, or somehow manages to pull out a win in the CT Primary. I think you will see 3 things happen:
1. Joe Lieberman will be a constant irritant. Everything he says and does will be under a microscope. Anyone he associates with will be under a microscope. Everything he does will be viewed with suspicion by a great many Democrats.
2. Because Joe Lieberman will be a constant irritation, he will in effect become an organizing tool. People will be pissed off, they will be motivated and they will want to effect change. The longer Joe Lieberman sticks around, the stronger the direct challenge to the establishment will become.
3. The pro-reform/progressive movement/netroots will not evaporate. It will endure and become stronger. Those who went out of their way to attack the netroots and progressives in order to get a short term gain will become marked men. The liklihood of progressives calling a truce and joining forces with the establishment will diminish. The long term result will be an ongoing blogswarm on this issue.
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