There were a LOT of polls on the Presidential race today and yesterday.
I think it would be a handy feature to have it all in one place. Especially for the folks who can't check the intertubes all day.
Below the jump, I have compiled the results of all the polls over the last two days. I made a few comments. Where possible, I have linked back to the frontpage post for each poll. Most of Kos' posts have included the trendlines and pollster.com averages.
Also, I am including the various electoral vote projections at the bottom of the page.
Head below the jump for the presidential polls released 6/17 and 6/18.
Alaska Link
Rasmussen. 6/16. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/14 results)
McCain (R) 45 (50)
Obama (D) 41 (41)
---seems to me that an Obama visit to AK (he could do it in a day from Seattle) would really be good here. And could use the time to talk environment. Do they have people working in the Native population (who should break for BHO)?
Florida Link
Quinnipiac. 6/9-16. Likely voters. MoE 2.6% (5/13-20 results)
McCain (R) 43 (45)
Obama (D) 47 (41)
The internals:
Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other Whi Bla
McCain 43 47 40 85 12 37 50 4
Obama 47 44 50 11 82 47 40 95
---Poblano and others say McCain has zero chance without FL
Kentucky Link
SUSA. 6/13-16. Likely voters. MoE 4%.
McCain (R) 53
Obama (D) 41
---big Clinton bounce. Note that Kerry lost here 60-40.
Maine Link
Rasmussen. 6/16. Likely voters. MoE 4%
McCain (R) 33 (38)
Obama (D) 55 (51)
Minnesota Link
SurveyUSA. 6/13-16. Likely voters. MoE 4.3% (5/16-18 results)
McCain (R) 46 (42)
Obama (D) 47 (47)
The internals:
6/16 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 46 57 35 81 14 51
Obama 47 37 57 15 82 40
5/18 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 42 51 34 85 13 36
Obama 47 40 53 10 76 50
--Obama should win here, but can't ignore this state. I wonder if a recent downturn by Franken is actually hurting Obama a little?
North Carolina Link
Tel Opinion Research (R). 6/11-13. Registered voters. MoE 4% (5/14-17 results)
McCain (R) 45 (44)
Obama (D) 41 (39)
The internals:
6/13 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other Whi Bla
McCain 45 49 41 80 21 34 54 7
Obama 41 38 44 7 63 53 31 86
---Anyone have thoughts on this pollster? Smells about right.
Ohio Link
Quinnipiac. 6/9-16. Likely voters. MoE 2.6% (5/13-20 results) MoE 2.6%
McCain (R) 42 (44)
Obama (D) 48 (40)
The internals:
Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other Whi Bla
McCain 42 46 39 87 13 45 47 6
Obama 48 45 51 7 80 43 44 90
Ohio (2) Link
PPP (PDF). 6/14-15. Likely voters. MoE 3.6% (3/15-17 results)
McCain (R) 39 (49)
Obama (D) 50 (41)
The internals:
6/15 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 39 40 39 83 17 32
Obama 50 50 49 17 73 45
3/17 Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other
McCain 49 44 54 86 27 44
Obama 41 43 38 12 62 37
Ohio 3Link
Rasmussen. 500 Likely voters. 6/17 MoE 4% (5/14 results)
Obama 43 (44)
McCain 44 (45)
---Still a big jump for since the 4/08 poll which as 47-40. Still good news taken with the other polls, which may be a bit too optimistic.
Pennsylvania Link
Quinnipiac. 6/9-16. Likely voters. MoE 2.6% (5/13-20 results)
McCain (R) 40 (40)
Obama (D) 52 (46)
The internals:
Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other Whi Bla
McCain 40 47 34 79 14 39 44 1
Obama 52 45 57 16 78 50 47 95
Wisconsin Link
SurveyUSA. 6/13-16. Likely voters. MoE 4.3% (5/16-18 results)
McCain (R) 43 (42)
Obama (D) 52 (48)
The internals:
Total Men Wom GOP Dem Other Whi
McCain 43 51 35 88 5 42 45
Obama 52 45 58 9 91 48 50
***********************
Electoral vote projections (As of 6:00-ish ET)
FiveThirtyEight.com
Obama 333.9 (win percentage 74.3)
McCain 204.1
Race to 270
Obama 318 (win probability 84%)
McCain 220
Rasmussen
Obama 185 (With leaners: 260)
McCain 174 (With leaners: 240)
Electoral-vote.com
Obama 317
McCain 221
RealClearPolitics
Obama 285
McCain 253
Hedgehog Report
Obama 319
McCain 219
Intrade
Obama 63.1 (up 0.2)
McCain 33.5 (down 0.5)
UPDATE
New FL and NH poll by ARG:
Likely voters June 13-17
Florida
McCain 44%
Obama 49%
Undecided 7%
NH
Likely voters June 13-17
McCain 39%
Obama 51%
Sample size: 600 likely voters
Sample dates: June 13-17, 2008
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between John McCain, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - McCain or Obama? (names rotated)
ARG
and a Diary with the news
One more: PPP surveys Virginia (PDF)
Obama 47
McCain 45