FL-Sen: We've never encountered a poll from Florida Atlantic University before, and their first one is, well, odd. For starters, do you believe that Ben Carson is actually beating Hillary Clinton 50 to 41 in the Sunshine State? Or that Trump is up 49-41? We're going to guess the general consensus is "no."
Yet in spite of that, the same survey finds Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy leading two Republican contenders, Rep. Ron DeSantis and Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera, albeit by widely differing margins:
• Murphy (D): 38, DeSantis (R): 36
• Murphy (D): 39, Lopez-Cantera (R): 30
Even weirder, Democratic Rep. Alan Grayson trails both Republicans:
• Grayson (D): 33, DeSantis (R): 37
• Grayson (D): 34, Lopez-Cantera (R): 38
As much as we'd love to believe that a significant electability gap has opened up between the two Democrats, no other polls have yet demonstrated such a thing. That's because it's still incredibly early, and most voters are not yet familiar with the candidates. Murphy certainly is by far the better bet in a general election, and if he's successful in making his case, that will become apparent to the electorate, but any poll purporting to pick up on such a trend at this point is likely off-base.
There's also one other inexplicable thing about this poll that you may have noticed by now: FAU didn't bother to test GOP Rep. David Jolly, who, like Murphy, is his party's most electable option. Oddly, this is the second recent poll to leave out Jolly—Quinnipiac did the same thing last month, too. Jolly may face a tough time winning the Republican nomination, but it's not impossible, and what's more, he's led in the few polls of the GOP primary that we've seen, so ignoring him is patently absurd.