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Kansas will have open seat in the elections for US Senate in 2010 after the young incunbent S Brownback announce he not will run for reelection. Good new for we. One of more experienced young republican senators go out. Now seems Brownback can run for governor in 2010. We win with the change.

Kansas is traditionally hard for democratic candidates in all elections. Same at state level. That make they are few strong democratics, and so or much strong republicans.

In republican party i think they will have hard primaries for this elections. The former governor Bill Graves can be candidate, but not necessarily. The candidate who win republican primaries in Kansas will be hard. That is sure.

In democratic party i think all people think in Sebelius like candidate for Senate.

This is the list of possible candidates:

  1. Daniel Robert Glickman: KS 1944 Secretary of Agriculture 95-01. USHRep 77-95.
  1. Kathleen Sebelius: OH KS 1948 Governor of Kansas 03- . KS Insurance Commissioner 95-03.
  1. Dennis Moore: KS 1945 USHRep 99- .
  1. Nancy Boyda: KS 1955 USHRep 07-09. Lost for House 04 and 08.
  1. Mark V Parkinson: KS 1957 Lieutenant Governor of Kansas 07- .
  1. John E Moore: WV KS Lieutenant Governor of Kansas 03-07.
  1. Stephen Six: KS 1965 KS Attorney General 08- .
  1. Dennis McKinney: KS 1960 KS State Treasurer 09- .

In this short list Sebelius appear like the democratic political figure from Kansas in this moment. I think she will run for Senate after end their second term. Is the best moment for she, and she can run for one open seat. She is lucky.

In the list appear too Dan Glickman. I think democratics in Kansas not must forget he because they have very much problems for find strong possible candidates. He is the democratic congressman who served for largest time in Kansas history. Dennis Moore and former republican Mark Parkinson appear now too like politics with so good political career. And Stephen Six can be the name for the future.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---

PA-Sen: A Specter (R-1930) vs E Rendell (D-1944) ? af 60 votes = 07,333 => Likely Democratic
KS-Sen: open R vs K Sebelius (D-1948) ? after 43 votes = 06,240 => Leans Democratic
KY-Sen: J Bunning (R-1931) vs ? after 33 votes = 05,606 => Toss-Up
LA-Sen: D Vitter (R-1961) vs J Breaux (D-1944) ? after 35 votes = 05,571 => Toss-Up
NC-Sen: R Burr (R-1955) vs ? after 38 votes = 05,307 => Toss-Up
2 LA-Sen: D Vitter (R-1961) vs M Landrieu (D-1960) ? after 39 votes = 05,000 => Toss-Up
OK-Sen: T Coburn (R-1948) vs B Henry (D-1963) ? after 55 votes = 03,727 => Leans Republican
FL-Sen *: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? af 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
IA-Sen: C Grassley (R-1933) vs C Culver (D-1966) ? aft 25 votes = 03,400 => Leans Republican
AZ-Sen: J McCain (R-1936) vs ? after 48 votes = 02,396 => Likely Republican

*: The diary for Florida is for gubernatorial race, but can be interesting include here the link to the poll because C Christ let open the door, and can run for senate in 2010.

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For find any strong candidate more for senate

And for see about other difficult races for democratics like:

AK-Sen: L Murkovski (R-1957) vs T Knowles (D-1943) ?
SD-Sen: J Thune (R-1961) vs ?
ID-Sen: M Crapo (R-1951) vs ?
SC-Sen: J DeMint (R-1951) vs J Hodges (D-1956) ?
AL-Sen: R Shelby (R-1934) vs J Folsom (D-1949) ?
GA-Sen: J Isakson (R-1944) vs ?
UT-Sen: R Bennett (R-1933) vs ?

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Senate. Republican Safe or Likely Seats?

All the polls are open.

PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes up, and when the serie of diaries about senate end.

Originally posted to abgin on Tue Dec 23, 2008 at 11:57 PM PST.

Poll

NH-Sen: K Sebelius (D-1948) vs ?

6%3 votes
9%4 votes
46%20 votes
30%13 votes
4%2 votes
0%0 votes
2%1 votes

| 43 votes | Vote | Results

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