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8:46 AM PT (Jeff Singer): Primaries: On Saturday, Hawaii will hold some of the most unpredictable and competitive races we've seen yet. We have our primary preview here. There are only three big races but they're good ones: Democratic incumbents for governor and US Senate face tough fights for renomination, and there's a crowded Democratic field in an open Honolulu US House seat.

9:04 AM PT: TN-04: Wowza. As of noon Eastern, the AP is currently showing that Rep. Scott DesJarlais trails his GOP primary challenger, state Sen. Jim Tracy, by two votes, 34,653 to 34,651. That's a difference of 0.003 percent, so suffice it to say, we won't know the actual winner here for a while.

9:15 AM PT: TX-Gov: Rasmussen: Greg Abbott (R): 48, Wendy Davis (D): 40 (March: 53-41 Abbott).

10:04 AM PT: Primaries: Here's our recap of Thursday night's primary action in Tennessee, with Daily Kos Elections' race ratings appended at the end of each summary:

TN-Sen (R): In the second "veteran GOP incumbent posts weak-ass win over weak-ass challenger" scenario in a week, Sen. Lamar! Alexander fended off state Rep. Joe Carr by a 50-41 margin Thursday night. That follows Sen. Pat Roberts' soft victory in Kansas on Tuesday, but with slightly better candidates and/or smarter strategic thinking, tea partiers could have claimed two scalps this week. Don't worry, guys: You'll get another chance in SIX YEARS. (Safe R)

TN-03 (R): Rep. Chuck Fleischmann barely survived a second challenge from Weston Wamp, the son of ex-Rep. Zach Wamp who finished third in the 2012 primary. This time, the race was a whole lot closer, with Fleischmann prevailing by a 51-49 margin. Wamp took a very different approach, reaching out to Democratic voters by portraying himself as a centrist (Tennessee has open primaries). It almost worked.

And had Wamp not secretly recorded a conversation with last cycle's runner up, Scottie Mayfield, in which he attempted to browbeat Mayfield into remaining neutral, he might have succeeded. (The ugly moment was later turned into a campaign ad.) Classy to the end, when Wamp called Fleischmann to concede, he accused the incumbent of deceiving voters, then hung up. Like father, like son. (Safe R)

TN-04 (R): Left for dead by his own party and just about every political observer after his salacious "push mistress who was a patient to get an abortion" scandal, Rep. Scott DesJarlais staged an amazing comeback and is now clinging to (political) life. As of Friday afternoon, he leads state Sen. Jim Tracy by just 35 votes out of over 77,000 cast. Suffice it to say, it'll be a while before we know who actually won here, but the fact that DesJarlais even has this much of a chance is a remarkable testament to the ability of Republican primary voters to forgive even the most offensive behavior. (Safe R)

TN-09 (D): Rep. Steve Cohen, a white man representing a majority-black district, had faced primary challenges from African-American opponents every cycle he's been in office, and he's always turned them back by an 80-20 margin. This year, though, he faced a more vigorous candidate in attorney Ricky Wilkins, and Cohen also found himself in the papers more than once for some odd (and revealing) tweets. Cohen still won by a 66-33 margin, but Wilkins' performance will likely only mean more challenges in the future. (Safe D)

• And in a rare piece of good news for Tennessee Democrats, three Democratic justices on the state Supreme Court all handily turned back efforts by conservatives to deny them another term on the bench. Tennessee is the only state in the nation where the Supreme Court appoints the state's attorney general, and Republicans would have taken control of the court with just a single victory, so this was a particularly big win for Democrats.

10:15 AM PT: CT-Gov: Gravis Marketing: Tom Foley (R): 46, Dan Malloy (D-inc): 38; John McKinney (R): 45, Malloy: 38.

10:49 AM PT (Jeff Singer): IL-Gov: Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn has been staring at a series of ugly poll numbers recently, but his camp is finally pushing back. A late July survey from the Mellman Group gives Republican businessman Bruce Rauner a tiny 39-38 advantage, with 23 percent undecided.  

Mark Mellman has a well-deserved reputation as one of the best pollsters in the businesses: He has produced accurate numbers for his Democratic clients in hard-to-poll races like the 2010 Nevada Senate race and the 2012 Senate contest in North Dakota. Any publicly released internal poll should be viewed with some skepticism, but Mellman's numbers should be taken much more seriously than those from the legion of terrible Republican pollsters we often hear from. Even so, it's not incredibly encouraging that the best poll the Quinn campaign could release still shows their man down. Note that this poll was conducted before news of Rauner's offshore bank accounts in the Cayman Island became public, so any effect that story may have had will not be factored into this survey.  

11:01 AM PT (Jeff Singer): IA-Sen: A few weeks ago American Crossroads attacked Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley over a dispute where he allegedly threatened to sue a neighbor after a chicken entered his property. We now have the details of the incident, and they do not sound good.

A women named Pauline Hampton, who lives near the Braleys' vacation home, describes how she first learned that one of her chickens crossed into the Braleys' yard when she went to their home to offer them eggs. Braley's wife Carolyn allegedly said, "We aren’t going to accept your eggs — and we have filed a formal complaint against you.” Braley denies that he threatened to sue Hampton. Braley may have good reason to be angry: The chickens apparently left droppings on his yard. Still, his neighbors seem to agree he did not handle the matter well.

Braley's opponent Republican Joni Ernst is of course wasting no time hitting Braley over this, portraying him as a litigious trial lawyer in contrast to her nice Iowa values persona. We'll see if this goes anywhere, but expect it to show up in more ads, right behind that clip of Braley dismissively calling Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley a "farmer from Iowa."

12:55 PM PT: CO-Sen: After repeatedly getting bloodied and battered over all their full-of-shit anti-Obamacare ads, it seems like Americans for Prosperity pulled back a bit, running TV spots that were a lot vaguer, or on different topics altogether. But now Karl Rove's Crossroads GPS is taking up the mantle, spewing b.s. in a new ad attacking Democratic Sen. Mark Udall. You should really read KDVR's full takedown, because the whole thing is just a load of crap, and the ad's narrator, Richelle McKim, is a real piece of work.

But the short version is that McKim does her best to make it sound as though she had to return to work because her family couldn't afford health insurance when her husband tried to start a new small business. None of this is remotely true. McKim's been continuously employed since at least 2008—before Barack Obama was even elected—and in a new interview, she admitted, "It wasn't the Affordable Care Act. It was just a financial burden, having a single income for so long."

But McKim's angry now because the ACA requires her to have insurance, saying: "It's alarming that when we have illegals here, they can still choose if they want health care, but we as citizens no longer have that choice." Lovely, right? The best part is that insurance was expensive for McKim's husband because he had high blood pressure—exactly the kind of pre-existing condition insurers are no longer able to discriminate against.

In any event, McKim's now covered under her employer's plan (and her husband can be, too), so the ACA shouldn't even matter to her. She just wants to take it away from the people who do benefit from it. Real nice.

1:09 PM PT: AK-Sen: Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski's been pretty unhappy for some time with her home state's junior senator, Democrat Mark Begich, over Begich's attempts to link the two lawmakers together. Now Murkowski has asked Begich to stop airing an ad in which a local aviation executive says Alaskans should not "break up" the "team" of Murkowski and Begich.

Of course, Begich can keep running the spot if he likes, and no TV station can be forced to take it down (pursuant to federal law), but Murkowski's obviously trying to pressure Begich via the press. Begich has to hope voters aren't paying much attention to this spat, but if Murkowski escalates from lawyer letters to actual public statements, then his efforts to tie himself to Murkowski could backfire.

1:21 PM PT: WA-01: NRCC-approved candidate Pedro Celis finally pushed ahead of absolute Some Dude Robert Sutherland in late vote-counting at the end of the week, sneaking ahead of his fellow Republican by less than a percentage point. Celis declared victory on Friday, but it certainly wasn't an inspiring finish given his huge financial advantage: He managed just 16.4 percent to 15.6 for the penniless Sutherland, while Democratic Rep. Suzan DelBene took nearly 51 percent in the top-two primary. DelBene remains the overwhelming favorite.

1:51 PM PT: KY-Sen: Haw-haw! As Barb Morrill puts, GOP Sen. Mitch McConnell's pretty much deployed just two strategies as he seeks re-election: "Trying to convince voters that Alison Lundergan Grimes is a black man from Kenya and accusing her of being a foot soldier in the so-called 'war on coal.' " Only door number two just became seriously, seriously awkward:

McConnell's wife, former Secretary of Labor Elaine Chao, sits on the board of directors of Bloomberg Philanthropies, which has plunged $50 million into the Sierra Club's "Beyond Coal" initiative, an advocacy effort with the expressed goal of killing the coal industry.

In 2011, Bloomberg Philanthropies teamed up with the Sierra Club to target coal plants for closure in an effort to "end our nation's reliance on dirty coal, plant-by-plant, community-by-community, and state-by-state," according to Bloomberg Philanthropies' website ... The organization boasts that it has "prevented 150 coal plants from being built," and has taken direct action against 16 plants in McConnell's home state of Kentucky, arguing that coal production is a health hazard and is harmful to the environment.

Of course, someone might be tempted to point out that Chao, of course, isn't the one running for Senate. But she's been very active in her husband's campaign, and even narrated a brand new TV ad attacking Grimes and making bogus claims that McConnell supports the Violence Against Women Act, even though he voted against it. Well, Chao's proven herself pretty adept at spewing b.s. Guess she'll need to keep at it.

2:56 PM PT (Jeff Singer): CT-Gov: State Senate Republican Leader John McKinney has one more spot ahead of the Aug. 12 primary, and he goes straight for the jugular against primary rival Tom Foley. The spot seizes on Foley's recent press conference from Hell, repeatedly playing a clip of Foley telling workers at a soon-to-be-closed paper goods plant, "You have failed." The narrator then chimes in, "No Tom, you failed."

If Foley wins the Republican nomination Tuesday as expected, look for Democratic Gov. Dan Malloy's team to pick up right where McKinney left off. If McKinney pulls off an upset I really hopes he takes a page from Darth Vader and declares in his victory speech, "You have failed me for the last time, Tom."

2:57 PM PT (Jeff Singer): Ads & Independent Expenditures:

CO-Sen: AFSCME spends $402,000 hitting Republican Rep. Cory Gardner. The ad, titled "What's the Deal," isn't online yet and it presumably does not star Jerry Seinfeld.

GA-Sen: The American Chemistry Council shells out $720,000 praising both Republican nominee David Perdue and would-be Senate colleague Johnny Isakson.  

IA-Sen: The NRSC reserves $1.9 million in airtime from the end of August to the election.

NC-Sen: Concerned Veterans for America goes up with a "seven figure buy", blaming Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan for not doing enough about the problems at the VA. We also have a size-of-the-buy for a recent EMILY's List ad hitting Republican rival Thom Tillis: The ad is running for $500,000.

NH-Sen: Senate Majority PAC goes after Republican Scott Brown over his time as a senior advisor for a shady company. The group, Global Digital Solutions Inc, was described by the Boston Globe as having "no revenue, no products, no trademarks, no patents, and only a 'virtual office' space in West Palm Beach".

AZ-Gov: Republican state Treasurer Doug Ducey touts his performance as CEO of Cold Stone Creamery. Disappointingly, the spot does not end with any Cold Stone employees erupting into song after Ducey tips them.  

FL-Gov: NextGen Climate Action has two news spots (here and here), tying Republican Gov. Rick Scott to big energy committees and polluters.

RI-Gov: Former Obama Administration official Clay Pell positions himself as above the fray, decrying negative attacks. Pell's Democratic primary rivals Providence Mayor Angel Taveras and Treasurer Gina Raimondo have largely been training their fire on one another, but Taveras recently ran a negative ad against Pell.

TX-Gov: Republican Greg Abbott's Spanish language spot features his mother-in-law praising him. Democratic rival Wendy Davis is out with her first spot. The narrator describes how a woman was raped by a salesman and proceeded to sue his company for not performing the background check that would have revealed he was already a sexual predictor. The case went to the state Supreme Court, where Abbot was the only justice to vote against the woman's lawsuit.

AR-02: Republican French Hill preemptively pushes back on attacks that he's an out of touch rich guy, touting how he saves money by driving his very old car, "Old Blue". The Huffington Post quickly found out that despite the frugal image Hill presents, he and his wife also own three much newer cars.

AZ-01: Republican rancher Gary Kiehne emphasizes border security.

AZ-07: A group called Revitalize Arizona portrays Democratic state Rep. Ruben Gallego as a defender of women's rights. The spot is airing for $70,000: The group is mainly funded by unions.

MN-08: House Majority PAC once again hits Republican Stewart Mills as an out of touch rich guy. AFSCME, which allied with House Majority PAC in a recent ad buy against Mills, spends another $84,000 against him.

4:09 PM PT: Race Ratings: We're changing ratings on six races this week: two Senate, three gubernatorial, and one House. Five are in the GOP's favor and one is in the Democrats' direction. As always, you can find our complete race ratings in chart form: Senate | Gubernatorial | House.

MT-Sen (Lean R to Likely R): In the wake of Democratic Sen. John Walsh's plagiarism scandal, we were already preparing to move this race to Likely R. With Walsh dropping out, Democrats will have the chance to select an alternative who lacks his baggage. But that candidate will have just 90 days to put together a complete campaign in a red state that had already been looking unfriendly to Democrats even before the plagiarism story hit. Rep. Steve Daines is now the heavy favorite to pick this seat up for the Republicans.

IA-Sen (Lean D to Tossup): Republican Joni Ernst saw a quick bounce in the polls after her unexpectedly dominant GOP primary win in June, but it never actually faded, and now she and Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley are locked in a dead heat. Ernst has her own problems (including some seriously extremist views), but Braley hasn't yet succeeded in making them the centerpiece of the campaign. Instead, his own gaffes and errors have been dogging him and making Democrats nervous. Iowa's light blue tilt probably gives him a slight edge in the end, but this race has become very competitive.

CT-Gov (Lean D to Tossup): It's felt like Democratic Gov. Dan Malloy has been in trouble for a long time, but the paucity of polling in Connecticut made us reluctant to pull the trigger on "Tossup." But now we have a bit more data, including a Democratic internal that had the race tied at 46. What's more, Malloy risks losing votes on his left flank to Democrat-turned-independent Jonathan Pelto, a former state legislator who's trying to capitalize on anger among union members toward Malloy. Wealthy Republican frontrunner Tom Foley also has a lot of money at his disposal, Malloy is definitely in peril.

IL-Gov (Tossup to Lean R): If Connecticut is looking dicey for Democrats, Illinois is looking downright terrifying. The polling has just been awful for Gov. Pat Quinn, who just released an internal showing him taking just 39 percent of the vote. To release a private poll with such fugly numbers shows just how rough the public data is. Republican Bruce Rauner could still screw things up: He's an extremely out-of-touch one-percenter who's been busy tripping over himself trying to explain why part of his vast fortune is stashed in the Cayman Islands, so he could certainly prove to be his own worst enemy. But Quinn will need a lot of help from Rauner in order to survive—and that's the kind of help you just can't count on.

WI-Gov (Lean R to Tossup): Democrat Mary Burke has convinced us: She's for real, and so is this race. When the cycle began, Wisconsin Democrats seemed dispirited after the failure of the 2012 recall, and no prominent contenders stepped forward to challenge Republican Gov. Scott Walker. But Burke accepted the challenge and has proven herself a serious campaigner. She also faces a different electorate this time—one where voters who dislike Walker but were squicked out by the recall process will now be free to vote their conscience. The RGA just announced a large ad reservation, and despite Walker's big fundraising advantage, the polls are showing a very tight race. Walker may have a small edge, but this is a serious fight.

IL-12 (Likely D to Lean D): Earlier in the cycle, we felt that Republican state Rep. Mike Bost, a dude with serious anger management issues, wasn't looking like a serious candidate, leading us to flip this race from Lean D to Likely D. We're taking that back now, because Bost seems to have gotten his shit together and even outraised Democratic Rep. Bill Enyart last quarter. What's more, deeply unpopular Gov. Pat Quinn (see above) threatens to be a major anvil around the necks of downballot Democrats. If anything, this race is liable to become more competitive as we get closer to Election Day, not less so.


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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (8+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 06:00:02 AM PDT

  •  TN-04: How much of a shot do Dems have? (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Avedee, Marcus Graly, Mopshell, gabjoh

    With a better Democratic candidate in 2012 (Eric Stewart, a conservative St. Sen.) DesJarlais won 55-45. However, I get the sense the scandals hadn't fully permeated the electorate.

    DesJarlais was very lucky his scandals broke in the latter half of a Presidential cycle, when the media was too busy to properly cover it -- and he has yet to be attacked for them. Sen. Stewart assumed the media would do all the heavy lifting (when he got the money to run ads after the scandal broke, they were all positive. An astoundingly bad use of money in retrospect.) Sen. Tracy didn't even mention the scandals until the final days of the campaign because… why?! Because his campaign was astoundingly bad, apparently.

    It's mystifying to me how DesJarlais has stayed so under the radar with all these major scandals. His opponents keep tip-toeing around the fact that he's had six affairs and abused his position as a doctor, and you half to feel the result is that there's no real popular knowledge of what he's done.

    The Democratic candidate in 2014, Linda Sherell, is effectively a some dudette, but is indeed running a campaign, and has actually outraised DesJarlais! As of July 18, Sherrell had $93,467 CoH out of $470,786 total raised. DesJarlais had $112,893 CoH out of $447,015 total raised (h/t roguemapper at RRH.)

    Since Democrats actually have a viable candidate, the DCCC, or a SuperPAC, or someone needs to have the guts to get on the air and tell people that DesJarlais has had six affairs and abused his position as a doctor. Because the way he's almost gotten a free pass on these massive scandals is amazing, and personally I feel he's very vulnerable to the first campaign that actually has the guts to go after him for them.

    (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", libertarian socialist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

    by Setsuna Mudo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 06:29:18 AM PDT

    •  *have (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Mopshell

      (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", libertarian socialist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

      by Setsuna Mudo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 06:30:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  DesJarlais (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Mark27, James Allen, askew, Mopshell

      I remember arguing with a Republican (can't remember who) at DKE about Desjarlais the last time he faced a primary in the aftermath of the scandal. It was insisted that the matter just needed to sink in, and that surely Desjarlais would be turfed out into 2 years.

      Sadly, it's not true. Republican primary voters were really hypocritical.

      Impractical progressive Democrat. "I am becoming less and less interested in your estimates of what is possible." - President Merkin Muffley (Dr. Strangelove)

      by redrelic17 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 06:48:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  No shot (5+ / 0-)

      It's a district that Romney won with 65% of the vote, and in redistricting, it ditched a lot of the ancestrally Democratic rural areas it had in the 2000s for suburbs of Nashville. A district this Republican will definitely vote for a scandal-plagued Republican against any Democrat; just look at SC-01, where Mark Sanford won comfortably against a strong opponent in the special election. Even if DesJarlais were so terrible as to be vulnerable (that is, if even worse scandals come up), it would require investment for a Democrat to win here, and no amount of investment is worthwhile considering the Democrat is basically guaranteed to lose in the next cycle against a normal Republican, while burning up a lot of money.

      •  But in 2012 the Democrat got 45% (0+ / 0-)

        And that was with relatively little coverage given to the scandals.

        (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", libertarian socialist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

        by Setsuna Mudo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:01:18 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Eric Stewart was a strong candidate (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jj32, nimh, GoUBears

          He was a state senator for a rural district within TN-04, and probably the best candidate Democrats could have run. 45% is a high-water mark. And I'm not sure where you get the idea that there was little coverage of the DesJarlais scandals; I recall seeing a lot of news stories, and I think it came up quite often here.

          •  There wasn't proportionate coverage (0+ / 0-)

            to the size of the scandals. Of course it got in the news, but for a lot of news organizations it was one or two bad headlines (more often one) and then it just disappeared. Eric Stewart, the Democratic candidate, never mentioned the scandals because he wanted the media to do the heavy-lifting.

            I would be very surprised if anywhere near 100% of voters knew about his scandals.

            (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", libertarian socialist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

            by Setsuna Mudo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:15:55 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  I Was Thinking The Same Thing Last Night..... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, ArkDem14, gabjoh

      ....I wish Eric Stewart had been convinced to run again because I think he was as close as we were gonna come to a top-tier recruit here, unless Lincoln Davis could be coaxed out of retirement.  Linda Sherell could conceivably put forth a solid effort that takes everyone by surprise, but I was disillusioned with this district after Stewart's double-digit defeat in the immediate aftermath of Des Jarlais' scandal breaking two years ago and it's hard for me to see how any Democrat can recover that much ground in a cycle like this.  A race to watch to be sure but I think we'd have a better chance holding UT-04 than picking up this one.

    •  Does Tennessee have sore-loser laws? (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, nimh, Mopshell

      If not, it strikes me Tracy might have a better shot, building a coalition of Democrats and more moderate Republicans on a platform of "At least I'm not a total asshole."

      •  Tracy can't run in the general election (0+ / 0-)

        I'm not sure whether Tennessee has an actual sore-loser law, or just simultaneous registration deadlines, but the effect is the same. The only states that don't have either of them are CT, IA, NY, and VT. I doubt Tracy would be successful with an independent candidacy anyway. It's not like he's an especially well-known name in the area, which tends to be a requirement for successful independent candidacies (like Lisa Murkowski in Alaska, who also had the added advantage that Alaska really likes to keep its incumbents).

    •  According to AP, Tracy is up (0+ / 0-)

      by 2 votes.  

    •  I feel like you have it backwards (7+ / 0-)

      When you say you "get the sense the scandals hadn't fully permeated the electorate." To the contrary, I'm pretty sure that the scandals have worked their way in and out of most of the electorate, which is why a guy who looked like dead man walking all year last year is now just two votes behind Tracy. DesJarlais was looking like a guy who'd lose 70-30, and yet here we are.

      Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

      by David Nir on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:18:00 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  it would be a 2 year rental at most (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, Setsuna Mudo

      But yeah I'm shocked as are many R's that this race was even this close to begin with.

      I get that he's receiving some of the pity vote for his cancer and the fact that time has passed for some voters to over look his scandal. But it's still shocking he's done this well in the R primary.

      This is issue goes far beyond the usual politics of abortion and in fact should unite both pro-life and pro-choice voters a like. If I were to categorize  DesJarlais he'd a need a new category of "pro- abortion" where instead of doctor's and the mother getting the option to choose we have husbands, parents or even the guy you're having an affair with get to decide on abortion rights instead.

      DesJarlais has been lucky so far by just getting a wrist slap from the medical board.  Had any doctor did what he did, they would have lost their license. I just want this guy out of congress.

      25, male, gay, Atari Democrat. CA-41(former) CA-34(current)

      by lordpet8 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:14:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  MT Senate: two possible candidates emerge (11+ / 0-)

    "Former Lt. Gov. John Bohlinger, who switched parties to run against Walsh in the June primary, said Thursday he'd consider running if chosen. But in a nod to the odds, Bohlinger set some conditions.

    "I would stand ready to pick up the mantle with the provision of money and an army of volunteers," he told The Associated Press.

    Sen. Dave Wanzenried, D-Missoula, said he was "absolutely interested" and planned to make his case in the coming days. A former state labor commissioner, he's served 18 years in the Legislature. Term limits will end that run in January.

    "It's one of those things that comes along once in a while and you say, 'I'm going to do this,' " Wanzenried said."

    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/...

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 06:39:30 AM PDT

    •  Term limits are 18 years? (7+ / 0-)

      That's like having a limit at the Golden Corral Buffet of 35 plates of food.

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:05:15 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Montana has odd term limits (5+ / 0-)

        You can serve in the Montana state house for eight years in any sixteen-year block, and you can serve in the state senate for eight years in any sixteen-year block. So theoretically, you could alternate between the state house and the state senate in eight-year blocks indefinitely. Wanzenried will have served 8 years in the state senate this year, so he can't run again for state senate this year. He could run for a state house seat, but apparently he either couldn't get an open seat or chose not to.

    •  Hope it's Wanzenried (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, Stephen Wolf, Tayya, wadingo

      He sounds more enthused and ready to run.

      "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

      by Paleo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:26:14 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I agree (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        The Caped Composer

        It's probably too late for him to win, unless Daines really screws up, but an enthusiastic campaign and respectable showing by Wanzenried would make him a good future candidate.

        38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

        by Mike in MD on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:16:50 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Future candidate for what? (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          nimh

          He's 66, and this seat will be up again in 2020 when he's 70.  We already have the Gov seat and the other Senate seat.

          This is probably his last run if he gets in...I'm guessing there was a reason he wasn't running for anything in 2014 in the first place.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:28:37 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Bohlinger (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HoosierD42, skibum59, ehstronghold

      I think you are omitting Bohlinger's bigger request. He demanded $10,000,000 in guaranteed funding. That is far more significant than any number of staffers he wants. Ultimately he is 78, and unlikely to be called upon anyways. But  with an 8-figure demand, it is assuredly not going to be him.

      I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

      by OGGoldy on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:29:52 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  NJ 2016 Eagleton: Clinton 50 Christie 40 (5+ / 0-)

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:24:59 AM PDT

  •  KY-Sen: whoa! (16+ / 0-)

    headline here at Daily Kos: Awkward: Mitch McConnell's wife is Major (player) in the 'war on coal'

    McConnell’s wife, former Secretary of Labor Elaine Chao, sits on the board of directors of Bloomberg Philanthropies, which has plunged $50 million into the Sierra Club’s “Beyond Coal” initiative, an advocacy effort with the expressed goal of killing the coal industry.

    We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

    by James Allen on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:40:56 AM PDT

  •  PA-13 Democratic primary post-mortem analysis (5+ / 0-)

    PoliticsPA analyzed the PA-13 Democratic primary, complete with a map. In short, party unity and geography matter. Take a look below!

    http://www.politicspa.com/...

    From the North Shore of Illinois, now living on the Philadelphia Main Line.

    by IllinoyedR on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 07:47:51 AM PDT

    •  I could have told you (0+ / 0-)

      that party unity and geography matter several years ago. It's obvious to anyone who has taken even a cursory look at New England politics. Divided Dems have let LePage be governor of Maine, and allowed at least one Democratic state senate seat in CT to be picked up by the Reps in 2012 (this year, Dems in that seat are united, so I think we'll win it back).

      That being said, your maps are quite nice, and again illustrate just how crazily SEPA is gerrymandered.

      (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

      by ProudNewEnglander on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 08:07:01 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well, yeah. I knew the map would look like this... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        nimh

        Well, yeah. I knew the map would look like this months before. But, some people aren't as familiar with political geography and electoral politics as we are!

      •  Are you talking about CT-SD-33? (0+ / 0-)

        The Green Party candidate really hurt us there in 2012, I'm confident that if she wasn't on the ballot we would have won. Unfortunately, I'm not too optimistic about our chances to take the seat back this year, since our candidate doesn't seem very well-known, and Linares has had two years to build up his name rec (the local media has been treating him like a GOP "rising star").

        Proud Progressive Social Studies teacher. (-9.50, -8.05) "Teach a man to reason, and he'll think for a lifetime."--Phil Plait

        by betelgeux on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 08:26:22 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I am talking about CT-SD-33 (0+ / 0-)

          The main reason why I think Dems are slightly favored there is because the Green candidate in 2012 (who is now the Democratic First Selectwoman of Haddam) has endorsed the Dem. The Dem seems to have connections to both sides of the river, which is important here. This seat had been held by Dems for a long time before Linares took it with 48% in 2012, and I think it'll revert to form. Also, it wasn't like Linares was well known in 2012 before he won.

          (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

          by ProudNewEnglander on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 08:43:01 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Could one (1) MontCo challenger unseat him in '16? (0+ / 0-)

      Or is incumbency strengthening enough to give Boyle it until he retires, dies or is redistricted?

      20/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

      by Tayya on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 08:10:18 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Probably not any of these 3 (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Tayya

        Arkoosh and leach clearly had no chance in a 1-1 race.  Margolies would have been closest, but I tend to think Boyle would have beaten her by consolidating Philly better than she would have consolidated MontCo.

        Hypothetically if you tell me Josh Shapiro hops in and gets a clear shot at Boyle, then he can defeat Boyle.  But I'm not sure how big a step forward this is for Shapiro.  I'm guessing he may have a future as a statewide as Treasurer or Auditor general.  I know he has higher aspirations (against Toomey) but I don't know that he can win a statewide primary against either Sestak or especially Kane.

        Shapiro does not however seem the type to take on a Dem incumbent like Boyle, barring something really bad emerging about Boyle, just my gut feel.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 08:20:02 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Nah (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        GoUBears, DCCyclone

        MontCo is 54% of the district...an advantage, but not enough to overwhelm incumbency now.

      •  It depends on how Boyle votes (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen, gabjoh

        If he casts pro-life votes, he's vulnerable to a pro-choice woman from Montco, whether it's Arkoosh, County Commissioner Leslie Richards, or someone else.  Josh's sights are set elsewhere.

    •  Wow, some of those reader comments are (0+ / 0-)

      ... off the wall. I hope that's just regular Internet crankery, and not evidence of a genuinely bitter aftermath.

  •  TN-04 (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, GoUBears, Setsuna Mudo, ehstronghold

    What's the deal?  I just checked the AP website.  It's now listing Tracy as the leader, by FOUR votes.

  •  FL-GOV: NextGen Climate goes on the air. (8+ / 0-)

    Here and here. No word on the size of the buy, but this is a good time for them to go on the air, as people start paying more attention, and unlike their awkward advertisement in the Iowa Senate race, these are actually well-produced. Either way, they continue with the Democrats' messaging so far during the campaign: Charlie Crist is for the people of Florida, and Rick Scott isn't.

    20, FL-07. UCF student pursuing a B.A. in Political Science, future teacher/politician. Yes, I'm proudly supporting Charlie Crist! "The Republican vision is clear: I've got mine, the rest of you are on your own." -Elizabeth Warren

    by Tyler Yeargain on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 08:32:56 AM PDT

  •  I would like to think that DSCC... (5+ / 0-)

    head Sen. Michael Bennet left a voice message on Brian Schweitzer's phone that goes something like this:

    https://www.youtube.com/...

  •  TX Gov Rasmussen: Abbott 48 Davis 40 (6+ / 0-)

    "When dealing with terrorism, civil and human rights are not applicable." Egyptian military spokesman.

    by Paleo on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:23:11 AM PDT

  •  Has there been any discussion on this sub-site (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, TrueBlueDem, gabjoh

    Of Ed FitzGerald's, ahem, minor setbacks lately? How much of it is only spin and how much is an actual problem? (For the record, the license problem does seem to be quite damning from what I've read about it)

    20/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

    by Tayya on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:33:14 AM PDT

    •  embarrassing (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TrueBlueDem, wwmiv

      can we get a real candidate next time, please?

      We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

      by James Allen on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:36:08 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  At least there is no senate seat (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        TrueBlueDem, GoUBears

        Though the SoS and Treasurer races are probably gone for us without a credible ticket-topper.

        20/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

        by Tayya on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:50:00 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I don't know about that (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          DCCyclone, GoUBears

          everyone doesn't just vote party line.

          We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

          by James Allen on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:52:40 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Absolutely true (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            James Allen, TrueBlueDem

            But the FitzGerald campaign will probably lose quite a bit of DGA and other money that could have gone to turnout operations.

            20/Sweden/Wonk. Prefers discussing opinions to having them. Learning by doing.

            by Tayya on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 09:54:30 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I doubt that (0+ / 0-)

              The DGA has no reason not to keep focu$ here.  It's too damn important.  These stories have the "drip...drip...drip" of a losing campaign I admit, but DGA simply can't tamp down enthusiasm/effort for even a single cycle in such an important state.

              "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

              by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:18:58 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Crist needs help. A lot of it. (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                skibum59, nimh

                So does Schauer. So does Malloy. Quinn needs a metric fuckton of help. If Fitzgerald can't pull his weight as a candidate, it's time to triage him.

                The sinners are much more fun...

                by TrueBlueDem on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:23:07 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  No it's not (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  ChadmanFL

                  OH is just too important of a state.  If he has a snowball's chance you have to give him a try.  IL and CT have legislatures to curb the impact GOP Gov takeovers.  MI and FL are focal points, but OH is in their league, and it's not like Schauer or Crist is setting the world on fire.  

                  I see no reason to prioritize Schauer over OH based on Schauer and his campaign.  Sure Schauer's more likely to win because he's facing a worse candiate in a more Dem state, but he's nothing great thus far.

                  The DGA in all likelihood won't have to triage anyone.  If it's anyone, it's Malloy in that hyper-expensive market.

                  "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                  by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:59:45 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  You cannot use lege as a firewall to give up a Gov (3+ / 0-)

                    See: New Jersey. Total disaster. New Mexico, not as bad but not at all good.

                    Governors have enough power to not just block all useful legislation for 4 or 8 years, but to completely undo past progress with solely their executive power.

                    Schauer being more likely to win is exactly why he gets preference, plus Democrats actually have a chance at major progress in the MI state legislature, whereas OH is completely hopeless.

                    Schauer, Malloy, Crist, Michaud, Burke, yes even Quinn are all more likely to win than Fitzgerald at this point.

                    The sinners are much more fun...

                    by TrueBlueDem on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 11:41:28 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  We shouldn't triage him (1+ / 0-)
                      Recommended by:
                      rdw72777

                      Malloy is not in any huge danger - his race is lean-D. Quinn I just don't care enough about. And we're really not running out of money right now. PPP has been showing the Ohio race more competitive than most think, and I'm inclined to believe them over Quinn.

                    •  Its not the only reason (0+ / 0-)

                      But the logic for the DGA will thus become them focusing on races where only perfect candidates can win on OH and FL becasue they're spending a fortune supporting candidates in places they shouldn't be (IL and CT).

                      If they want to win, sure give Malloy a shit-ton of money so that state can idle in neutral for 4 years.  The investment in Ohio is worth it until October at the very least.  

                      I'd cut Malloy, Quinn and Cutler today.  In a world of finite resources (which I don't really think is true reality given SuperPACS) I think Quinn and Malloy are ho hum investments.  Cutler is a good investment but Maine just isn't worth a lot of money given its population.  The 100% chance of getting a Dem Gov of Maine or 10% of a Dem Gov of Ohio,  I'm putting my money in Ohio every time.  It's a philosophical difference, I'm taking the "10 birds in the bush (Ohio-Gov) versus the 1 bird in hand (ME-Gov)".

                      It's not just a race for this cycle, but see my post below, there is just simply no bench there.  If Fitzgerald goes down in flames you have either Tim Ryan (who passed in 2014) or Sherrod Brown (giving up his Senate seat).  If Fitzgerald loses 53-47, he can try again in 2018.  You just can't triage Fitzgerald.

                      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                      by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 11:49:39 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  The DGA presumably isn't supporting (4+ / 0-)

                        Cutler at all in Maine.  Mike Michaud is the Democratic candidate, and all Cutler does this time is serve as a potential spoiler possibly allowing LePage to slip through again.

                        38, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

                        by Mike in MD on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:42:55 PM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  Sorry, Michaud I meant (0+ / 0-)

                          Point is the same though just replace Cutler with Michaud.

                          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

                          by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:52:31 PM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                      •  I do not think this is right (1+ / 0-)
                        Recommended by:
                        Midwesterners

                        For me it is wrong.

                        IL and CT are not as different than MA and NJ in terms of Democratic leaning. See what happen in the last years when the Republicans win gubernatorial races in states like these. See M Romney. See C Christie.

        •  2018 is the election that matters here anyway (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen

          The sinners are much more fun...

          by TrueBlueDem on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:03:37 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Blame Strickland (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Mark27

        I love him for his aggressive campaign in 2010 and coming close to holding on in the wave.  He has been a solid Dem and is still working for Dem ideals.  He should have run, to me the race would have been a coin-toss.

        Realistically our bench is meh in 2018.  It might be necessary to sacrifice Sherrod Brown to the OH-Gov race.  I honestly think post-2016 we'll be able to risk Brown's Senate seat.  Tim Ryan seems the only congressman who'd have a chance and he turned 2014 down so who knows if he's even interested.  The mayor of Columbus, though a Dem, is a Kasich ally so I'm not sure how desirable (or viable) he would be.  There's just not much of a bench.

        Ohio is in trouble for us for new, up-and-coming candidates.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:37:01 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  So easy to volunteer someone else (0+ / 0-)

        For difficult tasks.

        Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

        by David Nir on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 02:35:22 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Damn. He was so good on paper. (0+ / 0-)

      The sinners are much more fun...

      by TrueBlueDem on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:02:14 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Focus needs to be on the Treasurer race. Gettin... (5+ / 0-)

      Focus needs to be on the Treasurer race. Getting Pillich through should be a priority she'd be a top tier candidate in 2018 if she wins statewide.

    •  If the GOP thought they had something real here (0+ / 0-)

      Then why have Kasich and the RGA refused to issue public comment?

      Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

      by David Nir on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 02:38:04 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  TN-Sen (4+ / 0-)

    That was a repeat of KS-Sen.  Joe Carr was able to break 40%, and he held Alexander to below 50%.  (49.7%)

    Is the Dem nominee, Gordon Ball, a serious nominee or a somedude?

  •  Wendy Davis ad (12+ / 0-)

    skewering Greg Abbott for time on the TX supreme court, very emotive and sad story.  https://www.youtube.com/...

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

  •  The Clintons supports De Blasio's bid (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MrLiberal, Stephen Schmitz

    to bring DNC to Brooklyn.

    Not clear whether they really want it there or are just supportive because it's where  they live.

    I dont really have an issue with Philly or Brooklyn. I do wonder if this is the first time Rendell is upset with the Clintons. :)

    link.

    •  It's Philly's time (6+ / 0-)

      PA is just more important for the DNC in elections, NY is a fait accompli every cycle.  The New Yorkers will take the train to Philly anyways.

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:21:27 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Great article. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TrueBlueDem
      The Clintons have not discouraged bids by other potential host cities, particularly Philadelphia, where their close friend, former Gov. Edward G. Rendell of Pennsylvania, is spearheading its entry. The competition has touched off the kind of New York-Philly rivalry that is typically reserved for professional sports teams.

      “I don’t think Bill and Hillary Clinton could possibly be that politically naïve,” Mr. Rendell, who also served as Philadelphia’s mayor, said in an interview. “New York is a solidly blue state that never votes Republican. Pennsylvania is a swing state whose margins are closer and closer. Where would you go?”...

      “You think Philadelphia thinks Brooklyn is the center of youth culture? You people in New York City might see it that way, but Brooklyn has huge problems,” Mr. Rendell said. “No hotels. And how would you like to transport in the middle of rush hour thousands of delegates from Midtown to Brooklyn?”

      Asked about Mr. Rendell’s comments on Wednesday, Mr. Ragone replied, “Can you quote me shrugging?”

      •  Uh (0+ / 0-)
        “You think Philadelphia thinks Brooklyn is the center of youth culture? You people in New York City might see it that way, but Brooklyn has huge problems,” Mr. Rendell said. “No hotels. And how would you like to transport in the middle of rush hour thousands of delegates from Midtown to Brooklyn?”
        Not to bad mouth Philly, but there's a massive subway transfer station right underneath Barclay Center and the Long Island Railroad stops close by. Plus the R train should be running between Brooklyn and Manhattan again by 2016, something that wasn't the case when I stayed in Brooklyn last month. Also Williamsburg, Brooklyn is pretty much a hipster haven these days.

        Of course both Brooklyn and Philly have their strengths and both would be worthy cities to host the DNC.

        The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

        by ehstronghold on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:42:44 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  This isn't the Clintons decision. (0+ / 0-)

      They should be keeping their noses out of it. But, that never happens with the Clintons. They think they own the party.

      Sinbad on dodging sniper fire in Bosnia - "What kind of president would say, 'Hey, man, I can't go 'cause I might get shot so I'm going to send my wife...oh, and take a guitar player and a comedian with you.'"

      by askew on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 02:14:59 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  TN-SEN: Republican pollsters suck; PPP doesn't. (8+ / 0-)

    I have to admit, I was a little surprised that Alexander won the primary by such a narrow margin. But, as it turns out, Public Policy Polling was able to get surprisingly close to the final margin. In this internal poll for Democratic candidate Terry Adams (who lost last night), they put Alexander ahead of challenger Joe Carr by just 46-40. Ultimately, Alexander was re-elected over Carr, 50-41, but, if you don't round, Alexander won with just 49.73%, under 50%, which PPP found, albeit in a survey conducted in December. A Red Racing Horses-sponsored poll also found Alexander ahead of Carr by a surprisingly narrow margin, 41-29. The actual margin, 9%, is in the middle of the PPP projected 6% margin and the RRH projected 12% margin, so both pollsters did well.

    These results stand in stark contrast to the internal polls that the Alexander campaign produced, the last of which showed him up 53-24, and was conducted from July 27-29 by North Star Opinion Research.

    Either way, it's just another instance of a Republican pollster for an incumbent producing a result that painted a much rosier picture than the reality.

    20, FL-07. UCF student pursuing a B.A. in Political Science, future teacher/politician. Yes, I'm proudly supporting Charlie Crist! "The Republican vision is clear: I've got mine, the rest of you are on your own." -Elizabeth Warren

    by Tyler Yeargain on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:31:19 AM PDT

  •  CT-GOV: Do we think this poll is (0+ / 0-)

    too close accurate? I know Malloy is in a tough race, hope he can win.

  •  Great HuffpPo write up on ALG (18+ / 0-)

    It at makes me love her more and respect her even more as a candidate, even though a lot of is just backhanded compliments from a starry-eyed idealist.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

    It’s finally dawning on people, perhaps including some Republicans here in Kentucky, that the 35-year-old woman tearing into Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) day after day may be as tough and nasty as the 72-year-old five-term incumbent she is trying to oust.

    At the Fancy Farm picnic this past weekend, Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) clearly bested McConnell in the most elemental of political confrontations: back-to-back speeches in front of a thousand cheering and jeering partisan spectators.

    She essentially called McConnell too old to serve, saying she was in Fancy Farm for his “retirement party." She also painted him as a hard-hearted cynic, a selfish man who had enriched himself at public expense, and the symbol and cause of all that's wrong with politics in the country and in Washington, D.C.

    And she did it by pointing in his direction and occasionally turning to gaze at him directly. She seemed confident and in control in what was the most important public performance of her career so far.

    She also challenged him to meet her in two debates. So far he has agreed to none. She said that she would be at the designated sites, whether or not he showed up, and that no one would need “bloodhounds to find me.” That was a reference to the classic 1984 attack ads that brought McConnell his first victory over a Democratic incumbent who had missed some votes in the Senate; the ads featured the dogs being used to look for the "missing" opponent.

    It ends with this zinger:
    Grimes' cheerfully confident and acidic antagonism has to remind McConnell of someone: himself.
    Indeed, McConnell has seemed to hang on several times in Kentucky simply because he faced opponents who weren't ready for him, opponents who stumbled and couldn't handle the onslaught of negative attacks and McConnell's own self-promotion. This time around we're seeing the opposite; it's McConnell flailing to deal with negative attacks and seeming hesitant and off his game all cycle. Grimes is super-focused, has a great, poll-tested script, and is pretty much been non-stop criss-crossing the state, doing organizational meetings and meet and greets in rural areas, particularly in Appalachia where she's trying to pull her margins up against the anti-Obama sentiment. At the same time she's running an ad series designed to emphasize McConnell's lack of presence and results.

    It truly is an exciting campaign. I think Grimes has, perhaps to the surprise of many her on DKE who thought that she was too young and untested (only one campaign to her name), has been running the best campaign of any Democratic challenger this cycle. I think she's running better campaigns than any Democratic incumbents, aside from Begich and Landrieu.

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:38:20 AM PDT

  •  TN results (4+ / 0-)

    State Supreme Court: Honestly I wasn't even aware that conservatives were targeting these justices. I'm glad the judges saw this one coming  and actually raised more money than their opponents. These races were pivotal for two reasons. Bill Haslam had already appointed 2 justices to the 5 membered court and thus conservatives only had to knock out just on Bredesen's judges to take control. Also the current AG's term was expiring this year so the court gets to either reappoint or make a new selection for AG. It appears the conservative opposition shot themselves in the foot with attack ads that turned off voters. One Republican wasn't a fan of the tactics and and went so far to label the opposition as "out of state Yankees."  Assuming no deaths/retirements we could hold the  court till 2022 and could potentially get as much as 12 years (2 terms) for the AG in Tennessee.

    TN-03: I'm amazed how close this race was. Had Wamp not had that stupid recording fiasco he might have actually won last night. He came off as the better debater and the more pragmatic candidate.

    TN-04: I've said all I can about this race already.

    25, male, gay, Atari Democrat. CA-41(former) CA-34(current)

    by lordpet8 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:45:11 AM PDT

    •  Bredesen judges (0+ / 0-)

      can't imagine they're that liberal.

      “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

      by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 11:23:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  According to a 2012 study of State Supreme Courts (4+ / 0-)

        Tennessee was pretty much middle of the road, ranking as the 28th most conservative state Supreme Court out of 50 states.  The TN Supreme Court is actually well left of the state politically.

        http://judgepedia.org/...

        Then again I'm not entirely sure how accurte this study was.  They have Florida ranked as the 8th most conservative state even though we have a Dem-leaning court that almost always rules against conservatives in major cases.

      •  I dont know (0+ / 0-)

        In Georgia, a few years ago, there was a big push by Republicans to get rid of two Supreme Court justices, Carol Hunstein and Leah Sears, both of whom where Zell Miller appointees. Both, I think, though were probably center, maybe center left. Sears was mentioned as a SCOTUS pick for Obama.

        Both judges easily won retention elections though.

        So I dont think you can judge just based on the governor's ideology.

        •  Florida's Supreme Court is skewed thanks to Crist (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          TrueBlueDem

          Which is a good thing.  During his term as Republican Governor he made four appointments.  But much the dismay of conservatives his appointments were 2 conservatives, 1 Democrat and one independent who usually sides with the left-wing the the court.  

    •  They also pick the AG there (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, TrueBlueDem

      Which I didn't know. Hopefully one of these justices or the AG they pick run for office in TN in the near future.

  •  IA-Sen: That story sounds like crap (6+ / 0-)

    A next door neighbor made a similar complaint to the board, per the link.  That added detail further proves it.  Besides, Republicans threw it out there in mid-July to little use.

    “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 11:21:57 AM PDT

    •  *further proves the lack of story. (0+ / 0-)

      “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

      by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 11:22:47 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  So, based on David's description ... (10+ / 0-)

      ... is this, literally, a chickenshit story?

    •  The ironic thing is (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades

      That if you read that story, they link to the complaint made at the associations May-2014 meeting, where they say chickens aren't a restricted animal, as a resolution to the Braley complaint.

      However an idiot surfing Google (me) can find that if you look at the June 2013 meeting, you see there was prior discussion of the topic, though not via formal complaint, abotu chickens and that:

      http://www.holidaylakebrooklynia.com/...

      Chickens; Farm/Livestock/ Animals – Someone has reported chickens being kept within the Association. Bruce Rhoads added that roosters are very noisy and considered pests. The Covenant, on page 49, states that no birds or animals other than household pets can be kept on any lot. It was tabled since no one has come forward with a signed complaint.
      And of course, who is on the homeowners association  (HOA) board, but the very William Nagel who is cited in the WaPo article complaining that in Iowa people don't do formal complaints they go and talk to the neighbor face to face (i.e. he supports the chicken-owning lady).  So either this woman didn't get the proper talking to by the HOA per the board meeting in June 2013 (which it would seem Nagel would be partly responsible for doing) or the whole "talking to your neighbor thing" doesn't work as well as he and Ms Hampton say it does.  That or there are just tons of people managing wild flocks of chickens in this HOA and this complaint was about someone else :-)

      Also, not nowhere with actual neighbors (i.e. anywhere that isn't a farm or in the midle of nowhere) would you just let chickens run free.  They are rather filthy animals, and even if they are "therapy hens", still they're shit smells awful...literally.

      And an irrelevant point, Nagel received over $100K in farm subsidies bfrom 1995-2003, but little since then...maybe he wants some govt ca$h for his story :-)

      http://farm.ewg.org/...

      "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

      by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:36:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  This Nagel guy (0+ / 0-)

        also was heavily cited in the original report on this back in mid-July on a Republican blog.  I think he's a GOP activist.

        “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

        by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:49:07 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I can't find anything (0+ / 0-)

          But the whole thing seems kind of staged.  The May 2014 meeting minutes that say chickens aren't a restricted animal is in direct contradiction to the meeting minutes from the prior year and the rules written in the HOA Rules and Regs.

          Anyone who thinks grown chickens are a household pet is crazy.

          "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

          by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:58:18 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Friend of mine had two chickens as pets (0+ / 0-)

            Kept 'em in the garden. Her daughter loved them.

            I'm sorry, but the Braleys really do come across as asses in this story, and if he was a Republican I'm guessing the comments here would sound very different.

            •  that's cute (0+ / 0-)

              we had chickens on our farm. They lived in a coop. The rooster pecked me on the butt on two occasions. Never crapped on anyone's yard but ours.

              We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

              by James Allen on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 05:38:19 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  My folks have had the exact same problem (0+ / 0-)

        among numerous others with problem neighbors in inner suburb AZ.  Lots of folks keep chickens and let them range, just like dogs and cats and kids.

        When I was growing up in that neighborhood half the families on the block were breeding fighting cocks.  Of course cockfighting was legal in AZ at the time.

        Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

        by benamery21 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 03:58:30 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  why did the chicken cross the road? (0+ / 0-)

      Also, if you're rich enough to have a vacation home, who the heck gets a vacation home in Iowa?!

      •  Pastoral settings (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        TrueBlueDem

        Besides, having a FL vacation home would be used against him, I'm sure.

        “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

        by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:46:33 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  doesn't even need to be FL (0+ / 0-)

          could be a state next door, the Ozarks in Missouri or the northwoods of Minnesota or Wisconsin...all 3 of those places have relatively cheap vacation homes. As rdw said I guess it's a fun summer spot but Iowa in general doesn't scream fun summer spots. I guess they just wanted to only drive a short distance to their vacation home but then I ask why bother getting a vacation home

      •  Odds are (0+ / 0-)

        The vacation home in Iowa isn't all that expensive.  It's probably more of fun summer spot than some wealthy enclave like we think of we hear vacation home.

        "What if you're on a game show one day and the name of some random New Jersey state senator is the only thing between you and several thousand dollars? And you'll think to yourself, "if only I had clapped faster." - sapelcovits

        by rdw72777 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:51:38 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Republican would have just shot chicken lady (0+ / 0-)

      http://www.latimes.com/...

      "Former California gubernatorial candidate arrested in shooting that wounded a Fresno County man, killed a horse"

      All the problems we face in the United States today can be traced to an unenlightened immigration policy on the part of the American Indian. -- Pat Paulsen

      by tommypaine on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 01:11:23 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  IA-Sen, FiveThirtyEight still says Braley has the (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, KingofSpades, Jorge Harris

    best chance at winning this race:

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/...

    Funny Stuff at http://www.funnyordie.com/oresmas

    by poopdogcomedy on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:04:22 PM PDT

  •  Gallup: AR and KY saw the steepest (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sulthernao, James Allen, ChadmanFL, nimh

    declines in the uninsured population from 2013 through mid-2014.

    Apparently, some law was passed that made this happen.

    Also, I think there are, like, some Senate races in those two states this year or something.

    Ok, seriously, though, Pryor is touting the 200k who gained insurance and also noting that he voted for the law that made it happen.

    While Pryor and Grimes are in different positions(Pryor is an incumbent who voted for ACA), I think Grimes needs to start pointing out the positivees of ACA and the fact that McConnell's repeal stance would take those benefits.

    Obviously dont call it Obamacare, say that it needs fixes, changes, whatever, but if she isnt going to run the positives of all those KY residents who are insured(especially when McConnell is running on repeal), Grimes really doesnt deserve to win, imo.

    link.

  •  Interestingly Steve Beshear was on Hardball (5+ / 0-)

    Yesterday talking about "KYnect" vs. "Obamacare."  

    It should certainly be called "KYnect" because he noted how, when pollsters refer to it as "KYnect," it polls something like 30+ percentage points better than "Obamacare."

    Oh, how voters are so fickle!

    28, gay male, partnered and living in Indianapolis (IN-7). Political nut and liberal to the core.

    by IndyLiberal on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:17:35 PM PDT

  •  Ugh, we are going to see (7+ / 0-)

    more of this nonsense if Schatz and Abercrombie lose.

    My favorite line is about how Illinois may now become purple because...Quinn could close. Quinn, of course, won a surprise victory in 2010, and was supported by Obama then. Obama gets no credit for that(not that he should, imo), but he somehow gets the blame for Kirk's win.

    •  That's utmost BS (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32

      Also, isn't Schatz favored in the polling?

      “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

      by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:42:19 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  LOL (10+ / 0-)

      It is nonsense of course, and nothing that's happening in Hawaii reflects upon Obama in the least bit.  This is pure fluff by people eager to count points for and against the president, as if his endorsed candidate losing means a single thing for his presidency.

      He trailed his previously little-known opponent, state Sen. David Ige, by nearly 20 points ahead of Saturday’s Democratic primary
      Ahem.  I think they mean trailed in a poll, one that almost certainly understates Abercrombie's support.  And Ige is pretty well known by now, but I guess it means something to the Daily Beast that he wasn't that well known last year.
      But a poll released Monday gave Hanabusa a 3-point lead
      Actually, it was an 8 point lead.  And that too is contradicted by another poll showing Schatz up 8.

      And yeah, major LOL at Illinois being a purple state now.  I guess Kansas might turn purple too.

  •  IA-Sen: Ernst says Iraq would't be a problem now (10+ / 0-)

    if we didn't withdraw: https://twitter.com/...

    Good dirt.

    “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 12:41:52 PM PDT

  •  Political Risks of an Obama EO on Immigration (1+ / 1-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike
    Hidden by:
    BKGyptian89
    But what isn’t clear is why Mr. Obama would engage in such a move before the election. Of course, Mr. Obama faces short-term pressures to address the surge in migrant children being detained at the border, but news media reports suggest that the policy changes under consideration would be far broader, potentially providing legal status to many of the nation’s undocumented immigrants.

    Such a broad executive action could provoke a backlash in the midterm elections that might be avoided with a move just a few months later. Although the public is generally supportive of allowing immigrants to stay in the United States legally under certain conditions, opinion has grown less favorable toward this prospect over time.

    A recent CNN poll showed, for instance, that 51 percent of Americans now prefer an emphasis on border security and deportation versus 45 percent who prefer creating a path to legal status for illegal immigrants — a reversal from the 41 percent to 54 percent margin observed earlier this year. Polling also suggests that opponents of creating a path to legal status feel more strongly about the issue than supporters.

    Mr. Obama might hope to mobilize the Democratic base or boost Hispanic turnout, but midterm electorates are skewed toward an older, whiter group of voters who are likely to view a legalization plan less favorably. By contrast, the Hispanic population votes at lower rates and is likely to make up a small share of the electorate in this year’s most competitive House and Senate races (though their role in 2016 could be more significant).

    Link

    I think it would be foolish to do such a far-reaching EO before the midterms do it sometime in 2015.

    •  Lol, oh NYT (9+ / 0-)
      Mr. Obama might hope to mobilize the Democratic base or boost Hispanic turnout, but midterm electorates are skewed toward an older, whiter group of voters who are likely to view a legalization plan less favorably.
      Isn't that a ridiculously obvious use of circular logic? Obama is trying to motivate young, diverse voters in the midterms through this EO but he shouldn't, because midterms are typically old and white.

      Once the NYT stops chasing its tail, maybe it can explain to us how Obama is going to energize the Democratic base by doing nothing.

      I'd hope that Obama has learned that bold action is the way to go because no matter what he does there's going to be upwards of $1b spent spinning every lie about him and Democrats possible this election season.

    •  Uh huh (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike

      And black turnout MUST decrease in 2012, because God knows da negroes NEVER vote except for realllllyyyy special circumstances.

      I hate how they've built up this idea that midterms are automatically bad for us. They may be. We don't know. But so far, in the post-Obama era, we've only had one midterm. That's not enough to draw any conclusions.

    •  Dumb column and not valid (0+ / 0-)

      I traded tweets with Brendan Nyhan, the author, who is usually pretty smart but unfortunately myopic in in this instance.

      Citing a single poll is worthless for his point, this kind of "shift" in public opinion is fleeting and erratic, not reliable for any kind of decision-making.

      The reality of public sentiment on immigration is most people now are resigned to accepting without protest legalization of undocumenteds.

      And immigration has never been a decisive vote-driver except for immigrant-heavy communities, which these days are strongly Democratic communities of color.  Everyone else who cares about it is a high-turnout partisan.

      Interestingly, Brendan agreed with my above points on Twitter.  So I'm not sure if he doesn't realize how his column comes off.

      46, male, Indian-American, and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 05:23:49 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I'm not sure why you do this. n/t (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Le Champignon

      Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Kodos.

      by MetroGnome on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 10:44:17 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  AK-Sen, I like the Begich ad but I am also worried (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    JacobNC, gabjoh

    about it backfiring if Murkowski takes her complaints to far. It's like when Richard Carmona (D. AZ) featured McCain and Kyl praising him for the Surgeon General position and it pissed them off. Granted Carmona made that dumb joke about the debate commentator being prettier than Candy Crowley. But it seems like Murkowski doesn't really have a great of an excuse to complain about these ads.

    Funny Stuff at http://www.funnyordie.com/oresmas

    by poopdogcomedy on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 02:06:38 PM PDT

    •  Other than still being an ultra-partisan (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      poopdogcomedy, JBraden

      after being dumped by her own state's party in the primary? Classy, classy.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 02:29:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Oh god.. the political rehabilitation of Nixon? (9+ / 0-)

    Looks like the poll came out a couple weeks ago but I just noticed it.  Nearly half of Americans think Nixon's Watergate scandal was "just politics" rather than what it was - a criminal act well worth impeachment.  Amazing how some of our absolute worst Presidents have a habit of seeing their approvals rebound after they're long gone from office.  Even Dubya's numbers have rebounded despite his disaster of a Presidency.

    CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=1,012 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

    "Now thinking for a moment about the Watergate affair during President Richard Nixon's administration. It has now been 40 years since Nixon resigned as president. Which of these two statements comes closer to your own point of view about Watergate? It was a very serious matter because it revealed corruption in the Nixon Administration. OR, It was just politics -- the kind of thing both parties engage in."

    A Very serious Matter - 51%
    Just Politics - 46%

    •  Significanty fewer than half of Americans are (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nimh

      old enough to remember Watergate (I'm not).  I'll bet most adults couldn't tell you who was President during Watergate unprompted, or what Watergate was.  Ditto Iran-Contra.

      Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

      by benamery21 on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 04:04:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  There's probably several factors at work here (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      nimh

      One is that people tend to have a better (and often inaccurate) impression of the "good old days". This is why most presidents are better-regarded long after they leave office. Another is that Watergate was the "original sin", if you will, that really shattered a lot of Americans' reflexive belief in the good faith of the government. Politics has become progressively more poisonous since then, so now Watergate might look like small potatoes in retrospect. Third, most Americans hate how the political system is working now, so the answers might be a not-so-subtle jab at the state of this country now.

  •  CT-Gov (8+ / 0-)

    Wow talk about a third degree burn:

    Foley again comes on screen and says, “You have failed.”

    The narrator offers a sharp retort: “No, Tom, you have failed.”

    On screen flashes a headline blaring the result of Foley's previous run for governor in 2010, when Democrat Dannel P. Malloy won his first term: “Malloy beats Foley to win Connecticut governors race.”

    http://ctmirror.org/...

    The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

    by ehstronghold on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 03:49:39 PM PDT

  •  interesting that you're moving IL-Gov to Lean R (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, sulthernao, MetroGnome

    when the polls have actually tightened lately, now that we're not only getting WAA polls. Now that it's actually looking fairly close, I think people's optimism about Quinn's chances despite WAA's laughably Republican-leaning polls are more justifiable.

    We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

    by James Allen on Fri Aug 08, 2014 at 04:18:33 PM PDT

  •  TN-Supreme Court (9+ / 0-)

    All 3 Democratic justices carried every single county in the state, although some were by very narrow margins.  This is despite an extremely Republican electorate, since almost all of the contested primaries were on the Republican side.

    •  Wow (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, ehstronghold, LordMike

      That's... seriously impressive. Especially with eastern Tennessee being among the most ancestrally Republican regions in the nation.

    •  Not quite (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Setsuna Mudo, skibum59, James Allen

      The incumbent justices lost a smattering of mostly-small counties. Their worst county by percentage appears to be Johnson, which is the county as the very northeast tip of the state, where they got around 43% retention each. On the other hand, they did very well in Sevier County, which along with Johnson County was historically one of the Democrats' worst counties in the entire country. Gary Wade in particular got 67% there, as he was the mayor of Sevierville from 1977 to 1987. All three also got around 60% retain in Knox County, the largest county in eastern Tennessee.

      •  Nevermind I read it wrong (0+ / 0-)

        I assumed it listed retain first for every county, rather than flipping it for counties that voted against.  I was wondering how a candidate could carry every county while only winning 56-57% of the vote statewide.  Good news nonetheless.

    •  correction (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen

      As meromorphic observed earlier, they did some counties.  I got confused because "Retain" was listed as first in counties they won and "Replace" was listed first in counties they lost.

      All three Justices carried 64 of the 95 counties.  4 more counties voted to retain 2 of the 3 Justices, while 2 counties voted to retain 1 of the 3.  So only 25 of 95 counties voted against all 3 Justices.

  •  TN-04: A couple of people mentioned DeJarlais's... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ehstronghold, James Allen

    TN-04: A couple of people mentioned DeJarlais's 2012 Dem opponent, St. Sen. Eric Stewart, who got like 45 % and said he should've run this year. I just found out why he didn't: http://m.timesfreepress.com/news/2013/nov/06/ex-tn-senator-eric-stewart-arrested-franklin-count/

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