OH-12: As is being noted all over the place on social media, there are undoubtedly going to be provisional ballots, quite possibly thousands of them, which will need to be assessed and tallied before the final election count is known. Election turnout guru Michael McDonald gave a very “back of the envelope” estimate at around 9000 votes.
This may be relevant, as it now seems likely that Republican Troy Balderson will be leading when all the precincts are tallied. With 99% of the precincts reporting, he leads Democrat Danny O’Connor by a 50.1-49.3 margin, a raw vote edge of 1685 votes.