Election night is almost here—Tuesday!—and we have a lot of exciting races in store. As Democrats fight to reclaim the White House, they're also engaged in a cross-country battle to win back the Senate. In addition, Team Blue is looking to pad its House majority, as well as hold some important governorships.
What follows is an hour-by-hour guide to this year's key House, Senate, and gubernatorial races. With the coronavirus pandemic fueling a surge in mail voting, however, election watchers everywhere should expect that we might not learn the winners in every race for some time—perhaps days or even weeks.
At the top of this post is our map showing poll closing times across the country. All times are Eastern, though we also have versions for each of the other five U.S. timezones. And for a quick reference for every competitive contest in the nation, check out our race ratings page.
6 PM ET
Indiana (Eastern Time Zone), and Kentucky (Eastern Time Zone)
• Indiana: The most competitive contest in the Hoosier State by far is the open seat race for the 5th Congressional District in the northern Indianapolis area, which is one of the many ancestrally red suburban seats we’ll be discussing that has moved to the left during the Trump era. Former Democratic state Rep. Christina Hale is going up against Republican state Sen. Victoria Spartz in a race that has attracted millions in outside spending from both sides.
• Kentucky: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is the overwhelming favorite to win reelection against Democrat Amy McGrath. Over in the 6th District in the Lexington area, the same seat McGrath unsuccessfully sought in 2018, Republican Rep. Andy Barr faces a well-funded Democratic opponent in attorney Josh Hicks in what is a long shot pickup opportunity for Team Blue.
7 PM ET
Florida (Eastern Time Zone), Indiana (rest of state), Kentucky (rest of state), Georgia, New Hampshire (most towns), South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia
• Florida: While the main focus on Florida will be the race for its 29 electoral votes, the Sunshine State also is playing host to several notable House races. The most competitive seat to watch is the 26th District in the Miami area, where freshman Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell faces Miami-Dade County Mayor Carlos Gimenez in one of the most expensive House races in the nation.
Over in the neighboring 27th District, freshman Democratic Rep. Donna Shalala is up against former journalist Maria Elvira Salazar, whom Shalala beat 52-46 in 2018. Salazar has raised plenty of money, but in a good sign for Shalala, the outside groups that spent millions here in 2018 have steered clear of their rematch. To the northwest in the St. Petersburg-based 13th District, Democratic Rep. Charlie Crist is the heavy favorite against Air Force veteran Anna Paulina Luna in a seat that lurched to the right in 2016 but looks likely to shift back to the left.
Democrats are also hoping to capture a trio of Republican-held seats, though Team Red has a decisive advantage in all three. The most interesting of these looks to be the 15th District in the exurbs of Tampa and Orlando, where Lakeland City Commissioner Scott Franklin unseated scandal-plagued Rep. Ross Spano in the August Republican primary. In a potential sign of trouble for Franklin, the Congressional Leadership Fund, which is the top Republican super PAC that plays in House races, began airing ads against his Democratic opponent, former news anchor Alan Cohn, late in the contest. However, Democratic groups never stepped in to counter.
Meanwhile, Republican Rep. Vern Buchanan faces Democratic state Rep. Margaret Good in the 16th District in the Sarasota area, while fellow GOP Rep. Brian Mast is defending his 18th District in the northern Palm Beach area from Navy veteran Pam Keith. Both Democrats have raised credible amounts of money, but neither contest has attracted serious outside spending.
• Georgia: The Peach State has two closely-watched Senate races, though they’ll be operating under somewhat different rules. In the regularly scheduled contest, Republican incumbent David Perdue faces both Democrat Jon Ossoff and Libertarian Shane Hazel. If Hazel prevents either major party nominee from taking a majority of the vote, Perdue and Ossoff would square off in a Jan. 5 runoff.
The special election, meanwhile, will be an all-party primary that pits all the candidates against one another on one ballot. In the likely event that no one takes a majority, the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, would compete in a second round, also on Jan. 5. National Democrats have consolidated behind pastor Raphael Warnock, who is in first place in every recent poll, while the battle for second pits wealthy appointed Sen. Kelly Loeffler against a fellow Republican, Rep. Doug Collins. This seat will be up again in 2022 for a full six-year term.
There are also two House contests to watch in the Atlanta area, though Trump’s toxicity in the Atlanta suburbs gives Democrats the advantage in both. The race for the 6th District is a rematch between freshman Democratic Rep. Lucy McBath and the woman she unseated in a tight 2018 upset, former Republican Rep. Karen Handel. The battle for the open 7th District next door is a duel between Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux--who came shockingly close to winning here two years ago against outgoing incumbent Rob Woodall--and physician Rich McCormick.
• New Hampshire: With both Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Gov. Chris Sununu far ahead in their respective reelection campaigns, the main action in the Granite State is in the swingy 1st District. Most polls show freshman Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas well ahead of his GOP foe, former Trump aide Matt Mowers, though a late survey from the University of New Hampshire gave Mowers a 50-48 edge. Outside groups aren’t treating it as competitive, though, so it would be a big surprise if Pappas has problems.
• South Carolina: The main event is the unexpectedly close and record-smashingly expensive Senate race between Republican incumbent Lindsey Graham and Democrat Jaime Harrison. Trump will almost certainly win South Carolina, so Graham has some room for error, but Harrison and his allies are working to win over conservative voters who dislike their longtime senator. Harrison’s side is also trying to persuade anti-Graham voters to back Constitution Party nominee Bill Bledsoe, whose name remains on the ballot even though he dropped out of the race about a month before Election Day and endorsed the incumbent.
In the 1st District along the coast, freshman Democratic Rep. Joe Cunningham is defending the seat he won in a major 2018 upset from Republican state Rep. Nancy Mace. Both parties are spending huge amounts in this traditionally red seat, though Republicans reportedly are pessimistic about Mace’s prospects. Veteran Republican Rep. Joe Wilson, meanwhile, faces a well-funded challenge from attorney Adair Ford Boroughs in the 2nd District, but he’ll be tough to beat in what’s usually very red territory.
• Virginia: Two freshmen Democrats are locked in expensive contests to defend seats they flipped in 2018. In the 7th District in the Richmond suburbs, Rep. Abigail Spanberger is trying to fend off Republican Del. Nick Freitas. Meanwhile, Rep. Elaine Luria faces a rematch against former Republican Rep. Scott Taylor, whom she narrowly beat last cycle, in the 2nd District in the Virginia Beach area. There has been no publicly released polling in the 7th District, but in the 2nd, Luria posted a seven-point edge in a recent survey from Christopher Newport University.
The GOP, meanwhile, is on the defensive in the 5th District, a seat that stretches from Charlottesville to south-central Virginia. Campbell County Supervisor Bob Good won the Republican nomination against Rep. Denver Riggleman back in June, but he’s been massively outspent in the general election by Democrat Cameron Webb, a physician who would be the area’s first Black representative in over a century. Democratic polls have shown Webb in position to take what’s been a conservative district, and outside groups from both sides have been spending heavily here.
7:30 PM ET
North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia
• North Carolina: Both sides have poured massive sums into the Senate race between Republican incumbent Thom Tillis and former Democratic state Sen. Cal Cunningham, a battle that might well decide control of the chamber. Cunningham has endured a barrage of negative news coverage and GOP attack ads after acknowledging that he'd had a relationship with a woman who was not his wife, but most polls have continued to find him with a small lead. The Tar Heel State is also hosting a contest for governor, but popular Democratic incumbent Roy Cooper has decisively led Republican Lt. Gov. Dan Forest throughout the race.
We’re also watching a few House races in North Carolina, which has a new congressional map this year that replaced a brutal GOP gerrymander thanks to court-ordered redistricting. As a result of the new lines, Democrats have two "gimme" pickups in the revamped 2nd and 6th Districts, both of which are open seats, while Republicans are on the defense elsewhere.
The most competitive contest is the 8th District in the Fayetteville and Charlotte suburbs, where Republican Rep. Richard Hudson is trying to fend off Democrat Patricia Timmons-Goodson, who was the first Black woman to serve on the North Carolina Supreme Court. Trump decisively won here four years ago, but outside groups began spending here in the final weeks of the campaign as Democrats released polls showing a tight race.
In the 11th District in the western part of the state, CLF has aired ads to help businessman Madison Cawthorn fend off his Democratic rival, Air Force veteran Moe Davis, in what’s historically been a very red seat. And in the 9th District in the Charlotte suburbs, allies of Democrat Cynthia Wallace released a poll in the final days showing her only narrowly behind freshman GOP Rep. Dan Bishop in a race that outside groups have not been involved in.
• Ohio: The most vulnerable Republican congressman by far is veteran Rep. Steve Chabot, who is defending the 1st District, a badly gerrymandered seat in the Cincinnati area, from former healthcare executive Kate Schroder in what’s become a very expensive contest.
Over in 10th District, Republican Rep. Mike Turner has been outspent by Democrat Desiree Tims in a Dayton-based seat he’s always decisively won reelection in. Republican Rep. Troy Balerson is also favored against businesswoman Alaina Shearer in the 12th District, though he could have problems in this northern Columbus area seat on a very bad night for his party.
8 PM ET
Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida (rest of state), Illinois, Kansas (Central Time Zone), Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan (Eastern Time Zone), Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire (rest of state), New Jersey, North Dakota (Central Time Zone), Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota (Central Time Zone), Tennessee, Texas (Central Time Zone), Washington, D.C.
• Alabama: Democratic Sen. Doug Jones is by far the most vulnerable member of the Senate following his extraordinary upset in a 2017 special election, and most polls show him badly trailing former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville in this very red state. Jones has decisively outspent his Republican foe, but it would count as a huge surprise if he hung on.
• Illinois: The most competitive contest in the Prairie State is the rematch between Republican Rep. Rodney Davis and Democrat Betsy Dirksen Londrigan in the 13th District in the central part of the state. Davis narrowly fended off Londrigan in 2018, and both sides are spending millions for their return engagement.
To the north in the western Chicago exurbs, freshman Democratic Rep. Lauren Underwood is favored to hold the 14th District against Republican state Sen. Jim Oberweis. Republicans spent heavily in an unsuccessful attempt to stop Oberweis, who has a long history of losing high-profile contests, from capturing the GOP nod, but they’ve done nothing to help him now that he’s their nominee.
Finally, Republicans are making a late attempt to unseat Rep. Cheri Bustos, who serves as Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) chair, in the 17th District in western Illinois. Republicans released two polls in the final weeks showing her only five to six points ahead of real estate attorney Esther Joy King, and the CLF put its money where its mouth is by spending $500,000. It would be a big surprise if Bustos lost in a seat she’s always held with ease, though her allies at House Majority PAC did begin an ad campaign to help her during the last week of the election.
• Kansas: Democrats haven’t won a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas since 1932, by far the longest such streak in the nation, but both sides are taking the battle between GOP Rep. Roger Marshall and Democratic state Sen. Barbara Bollier very seriously. Most recent polls have Marshall ahead in a state that Trump will take, though Bollier’s team recently released numbers showing her narrowly up.
Republican state Treasurer Jake LaTurner is also defending the 2nd District, which became open after he beat scandal-ridden Rep. Steve Watkins in the primary. The Democrats are fielding Topeka Mayor Michelle De La Isla, but outside groups aren’t treating this like a competitive contest.
• Maine: After a career of easy reelections in her blue-leaning state, Republican Sen. Susan Collins faces the challenge of her life from state House Speaker Sara Gideon, a Democrat who has been one of the party’s strongest fundraisers. Polls show Gideon ahead, but usually by only a small margin. Two independents, Max Linn and Lisa Savage, are also on the ballot in this instant-runoff race, and most surveys show Gideon benefitting once they’re eliminated from contention.
Over in the rural 2nd District in the northern part of the state, freshman Democratic Rep. Jared Golden is the strong favorite against former state Rep. Dale Crafts. This seat gave Trump its electoral vote four years ago and may do so again, but polls show Golden far ahead, and major groups have largely abandoned this race.
• Michigan: The Wolverine State offers the GOP its best pickup opportunity in the Senate after Alabama, but most recent polls show Democratic incumbent Gary Peters decisively leading Republican John James. James has been a very good fundraiser, but he’ll likely need Trump to at least come close to taking the state’s electoral votes again to prevail, an outcome that few surveys show happening.
The most competitive House race is in the 3rd District, a Grand Rapids seat held by retiring Rep. Justin Amash, a Republican-turned-independent-turned-Libertarian. Both sides have spent heavily in the race between Democrat Hillary Scholten, an immigration attorney, and Republican Peter Meijer, whose family owns an eponymous retail chain with almost 200 locations. Each party has released polls showing their candidate ahead, but even Team Red’s surveys find Joe Biden on track to carry this historically red constituency.
Republicans are also defending the 6th District in the Kalamazoo area, where longtime Rep. Fred Upton is going up against state Rep. Jon Hoadley. National Republicans ran several negative ads against Hoadley in September and in early October but largely stopped, while Democrats never spent much here.
Two freshmen Democrats, Reps. Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens, are also seeking reelection in seats they flipped last cycle. While Slotkin’s 8th District in the Lansing area has usually been the more conservative of the two, both parties have spent far more in the contest between Stevens and attorney Eric Esshaki in the 11th in suburban Detroit. Both incumbents are nevertheless favored.
• Mississippi: Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith beat former Democratic Rep. Mike Espy 54-46 in their 2018 special election, and Espy is seeking a rematch. Espy has massively outspent the incumbent, but it will be a huge challenge for him to prevail in this red state.
• Missouri: Republican Gov. Mike Parson faces a credible challenge from Democratic state Auditor Nicole Galloway, but polls show him with the advantage in a state that’s moved hard to the right over the last decade. The situation is reversed for Republican Rep. Ann Wagner in the 2nd District, though, as she defends a suburban St. Louis seat that has trended the other way. Wagner has a well-funded opponent in state Sen. Jill Schupp, and both parties have spent heavily here.
• New Jersey: Freshman Rep. Jeff Van Drew infuriated Democrats when he left the party in December and pledged his “undying support” for Donald Trump. He now faces a tough race in the 2nd District from mental health advocate Amy Kennedy. Both parties have spent heavily in this seat along the southern New Jersey coast, and a late October poll from Stockton University found Kennedy narrowly ahead.
Meanwhile, two freshmen Democrats are favored in seats they flipped in 2018. Republicans had planned to target Rep. Andy Kim in the 3rd District, another South Jersey seat that Trump carried, but they’ve done little to support businessman David Richter’s bid. The race up north in the suburban 7th District between Rep. Tom Malinowski and state Senate Republican Leader Tom Kean Jr. is far more expensive, but Malinowski has the advantage of running in an area that’s been moving left.
• Oklahoma: Democratic Rep. Kendra Horn flipped the 5th District in the Oklahoma City area in what may have been the biggest shock of the midterms, so it's no surprise that both parties have devoted heavy resources to this year's battle between Horn and Republican state Sen. Stephanie Bice. Polls show a close race in a seat that Trump decisively won, but Biden may be able to take the district this time.
• Pennsylvania: Two Republican incumbents face tough challenges in very different seats. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick ran well ahead of the ticket during his prior two campaigns for the 1st District in Philadelphia’s northern suburbs, but with Biden on track to do very well here, the congressman’s crossover appeal faces its greatest test in his race against Democrat Christina Finello.
To the west in the 10th District in the Harrisburg area, Rep. Scott Perry is defending a seat that Trump decisively won but that Democratic polls show Biden carrying. Team Blue's surveys have also found state Auditor Eugene DePasquale ahead of Perry, though the incumbent eventually responded with more favorable numbers.
If Republicans are having an unexpectedly good night, they may be able to give Reps. Matt Cartwright and Conor Lamb tough races in the 8th and 17th Districts, respectively, but they’ve done little to support their candidates in either contest.
• Texas: At long last, Texas is verging on swing-state status and is playing host to a huge number of competitive races up and down the ticket. Republican Sen. John Cornyn has led Air Force veteran MJ Hegar in most polls, but Democrats launched a well-funded late effort to boost her. Cornyn has usually run ahead of Trump, but he may have problems if Biden is able to flip this longtime GOP stronghold.
Team Blue is also on the offensive in House races across the state, and the party’s best pickup opportunity looks like the 23rd District in West Texas. Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones came unexpectedly close to winning it in 2018 against Republican Rep. Will Hurd, and she became the favorite to win it after Hurd opted to retire. However, despite some predictions that Republicans would cede the district, Team Red has spent heavily to support Navy veteran Tony Gonzales.
House Democrats are also hoping to make gains in seats located in Texas' historically red suburbs. Two major targets are the open 22nd and 24th Districts, which are in the Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth areas, respectively. The 22nd features a battle between 2018 Democratic nominee Sri Preston Kulkarni, who did unexpectedly well during that campaign, and Fort Bend County Sheriff Troy Nehls. The 24th, meanwhile, pits Democrat Candace Valenzuela, who is a former school board member, against ex-Irving Mayor Beth Van Duyne.
There’s another very competitive contest in the badly gerrymandered 21st District, which stretches from Austin to San Antonio, between GOP incumbent Chip Roy and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Wendy Davis. We’re also watching the 10th District, another contorted district that snakes from Austin to western Houston. Longtime Republican Rep. Michael McCaul only held off Democrat Mike Siegel 51-47 in a 2018 contest that attracted little attention, and Siegel has far more money for his second bid.
Democrats are also hoping to defeat Republican incumbents in five more suburban seats: The 2nd District in the Houston area; the 3rd and 6th Districts in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex; and the 25th and 31st around Austin. All of these districts are still quite conservative, though, and a Democratic win in any would count as a major upset.
Two Democrats, meanwhile, are defending suburban seats they flipped in 2018, but they’re both in a good position. While Republicans heavily touted Army veteran Wesley Hunt’s prospects against Rep. Lizzie Fletcher in the West Houston 7th District, both parties have directed their resources to the more competitive 22nd District. Both sides have also largely ignored the 32nd District, a Dallas-area seat where Rep. Colin Allred faces self-funder Genevieve Collins.
8:30 PM ET
• Arkansas: Republican Rep. French Hill faces an unexpectedly tough and expensive fight against Democratic state Sen. Joyce Elliott, who would be Arkansas’ first Black member of Congress, in the 2nd District. While Trump decisively carried this Little Rock area seat, both Democratic and independent polls find a tight race both for the House and the presidency here.
9 PM ET
Arizona, Colorado, Kansas (rest of state), Louisiana, Michigan (rest of state), Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota (rest of state), South Dakota (rest of state), Texas (rest of state), Wisconsin, Wyoming
• Arizona: Almost every poll taken this year has shown Democrat Mark Kelly running ahead of appointed Republican Sen. Martha McSally in this special election, and it would be a surprise if he didn’t prevail. The winner will be up for a full term in 2022.
Democrats are also targeting Republican Rep. David Schweikert in the 6th District, which is located in the Phoenix suburbs. Schweikert accepted a formal reprimand from the House Ethics Committee this summer and admitted to 11 different violations of congressional rules and campaign finance laws, a scandal that both drained his resources and gave Democrat Hiral Tipirneni a ready line of attack.
Republicans, though, are hoping that attorney Tiffany Shedd will unseat Rep. Tom O’Halleran in the 1st District in northern Arizona. Trump narrowly carried this sprawling rural seat, and both parties have been spending here.
• Colorado: Sen. Cory Gardner has been the most vulnerable Republican in the chamber since the start of the cycle, and he’s consistently polled well behind former Gov. John Hickenlooper. Outside groups have scaled back their spending, and anything but a clear Hickenlooper win would be a real stunner.
The situation is more complicated in the 3rd District in western Colorado, where QAnon defender Lauren Boebert toppled GOP Rep. Scott Tipton in a true primary shocker. The Democrats are fielding former state Rep. Diane Mitsch Bush, who lost to Tipton 52-44 last cycle, and outside groups from both parties have been spending heavily here. Republicans usually do well in this area, though, so even a terrible candidate like Boebert retains the edge.
• Louisiana: Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy is heavily favored in what has become a very red state, but Democrats are hoping that Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins will be able to keep the incumbent from taking the majority of the vote in the all-party primary that the incumbent would need to avoid a Dec. 5 runoff.
A second round of voting, though, is all but assured in the crowded race to succeed retiring Rep. Ralph Abraham in the 5th District, a safely red seat in the northeast part of the state. The two main Republican candidates are state Rep. Lance Harris and Luke Letlow, a former Abraham chief of staff who is running with his boss’ support. It’s always possible, though, that another candidate from either party could deny one of these contenders a place in the runoff.
• Minnesota: Recent polls have disagreed on whether Democratic Sen. Tina Smith is only narrowly ahead of former Republican Rep. Jason Lewis or poised to win comfortably. However, major groups on both sides have stayed out of this contest, so insiders are acting like Smith is the easy favorite.
Meanwhile, each party has one House member who is locked in a tough race. Freshman Republican Rep. Jim Hagedorn faces a rematch with Democrat Dan Feehan, whom he narrowly beat in 2018 in southern Minnesota’s 1st District. Veteran Democratic Rep. Collin Peterson, meanwhile, is going up against former Lt. Gov. Michelle Fischbach in the 7th District, a seat in the rural western part of the state that Trump is poised to carry by a wide margin once again. Peterson used to win this conservative area with ease every cycle, but he struggled in both 2016 and 2018 against an underfunded foe.
Over in the 2nd District, freshman Democratic Rep. Angie Craig is favored against Marine veteran Tyler Kistner in a suburban Twin Cities seat that’s been moving to the left. This race was briefly postponed until February when Legal Marijuana Party Now candidate Adam Weeks died, but the November date was reinstated by a federal judge.
• Nebraska: Republican Rep. Don Bacon only narrowly defeated Democrat Kara Eastman in 2018 after national Democrats pulled out of the 2nd District, but both parties have made sure to spend plenty of money for their rematch in this Omaha-area seat. Polls find a tight race as Biden is in a strong position to carry the district (and its lone electoral vote), but Bacon is hoping to hold on by relentlessly portraying Eastman as a socialist.
• New Mexico: Freshman Democratic Rep. Xochitl Torres Small narrowly defeated former state Rep. Yvette Herrell to flip the 2nd District in 2018, and we have yet another expensive rematch on tap. Unlike many other House battlegrounds, though, Trump is very likely to once again carry this southern New Mexico seat.
• New York: Democrats are mostly on offense in the Empire State, but Republicans are making a serious effort to avenge two of their 2018 losses. Both parties have spent heavily in the race between freshman Democratic Rep. Max Rose and GOP Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis in the 11th District, which contains all of Staten Island and a slice of Brooklyn. Malliotakis has been trying to tie Rose to national Democrats in a seat that Trump is likely to carry again, while Rose has framed himself as a candidate eager to stand up to his party. The only poll we’ve seen was a late October Marist survey that gave Malliotakis a narrow lead.
The 22nd District, meanwhile, features a rematch between freshman Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi and Republican Claudia Tenney, whom he narrowly unseated last time. Trump decisively carried this seat in 2018, but an early October Siena poll found Biden narrowly ahead as Brindisi led 48-39. Both parties have spent massive amounts here, though, so no one is acting like this is anything but close.
The neighboring 24th District features another familiar lineup as Republican Rep. John Katko is once again doing battle with Democrat Dana Balter in this Syracuse seat. Katko won 53-47 last time and both sides think he’ll run ahead of Trump, but he’ll need quite a lot of crossover support in a seat that polls show Biden doing well in.
Finally, Democrats are making a play for two Long Island seats. The better opportunity seems to be the open 2nd District, where Republican Assemblyman Andrew Garbarino is going up against Babylon Town Councilor Jackie Gordon. Both parties are also committing resources to the 1st District, where Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin is on the defensive against Stony Brook University professor Nancy Goroff.
• Wisconsin: Republican outside groups unexpectedly decided to target veteran Democratic Rep. Ron Kind in the 3rd District, a southwestern Wisconsin seat that Trump flipped in 2016. However, Team Red later abandoned Navy SEAL veteran Derrick Van Orden, who reportedly had to cancel his ads for lack of money in the final days, though Democratic organizations have continued to spend on Kind's behalf.
10 PM ET
Idaho (Mountain Time Zone), Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Oregon (Mountain Time Zone), Utah
• Iowa: The big game in town is the Senate race, where most polls show Republican incumbent Joni Ernst locked in a tight race with Democrat Theresa Greenfield. This is another contest that very well could decide control of the entire chamber.
Democrats, meanwhile, are defending a trio of House seats that Trump carried in 2016, though a mid-October poll from Monmouth gave Team Blue the lead in all three expensive contests. The 1st District in the northeast pits freshman Democratic Rep. Abby Finkenauer against Republican state Rep. Ashley Hinson, a former TV newscaster.
The 2nd District in the southeast, which is the only competitive Democratic-held open seat in the country, is a battle between former Democratic state Sen. Rita Hart and Republican state Sen. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who has unsuccessfully run here on three previous occasions. The 3rd District, in the Des Moines area, is another 2018 rematch, with freshman Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne going up again against former Republican Rep. David Young.
• Montana: We have three competitive statewide races in Montana. The most high-profile is the Senate race between Republican incumbent Steve Daines and Democratic Gov. Steve Bullock, where Daines has usually enjoyed a small edge. The race to succeed Bullock, meanwhile, pits Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte against Democratic Lt. Gov. Mike Cooney. There, Team Red has led in almost every survey.
Both parties are also spending tons of money in the fight to succeed Gianforte as Montana’s only member of the House. Former Democratic state Rep. Kathleen Williams, who lost to Gianforte last cycle, is going up against the GOP’s unsuccessful 2018 Senate nominee, state Auditor Matt Rosendale. Recent polls have shown a tie or a small Rosendale lead.
• Nevada: The big down-ballot race to watch is in the 3rd District in Las Vegas’ southern suburbs, where freshman Democratic Rep. Susie Lee is being challenged by former professional wrestler Dan Rodimer. Lee won decisively here in 2018 and this seems like an area where Trump will struggle to repeat his narrow 2016 win, but both sides have devoted millions to this contest. The 4th District in the northern Vegas area has gotten far less attention, though Democrats began airing ads in the final week to help Rep. Steven Horsford against Republican Jim Marchant.
• Utah: The state’s most competitive race is the battle in the 4th District between freshman Democratic Rep. Ben McAdams, who narrowly flipped this suburban Salt Lake City seat in 2018, and former NFL safety Burgess Owens. Both parties have spent huge amounts here, but there's been precious little polling: The only recent survey was an RMG Research poll giving Owens a slim edge.
11 PM ET
California, Oregon (rest of state), Washington
• California: The Golden State doesn’t have quite as many competitive seats as Texas, but there’s still a lot to see. The most vulnerable Republican by far is Republican Rep. Mike Garcia, who retook the 25th District in northern Los Angeles County for his party in a May special election after the GOP lost it in the midterms. Garcia faces a rematch against Assemblywoman Christy Smith, who lost that low-turnout special 56-44 but is likely to benefit from a large presidential electorate in a seat Trump lost in 2016.
To the north in the 21st District, freshman Democratic Rep. TJ Cox has a rematch against former Republican Rep. David Valadao, whom he narrowly unseated in a 2018 shocker. Trump badly lost this Southern Central Valley seat in 2016, but Democrats reportedly have been nervous about Cox’s prospects against Valadao, who has always run ahead of the ticket.
Another return engagement is on tap far to the south in the 39th District around Fullerton, where freshman Democratic Rep. Gil Cisneros beat Republican Young Kim 52-48 last time. Kim is running again, but she faces headwinds in a diverse suburban seat that Trump will likely struggle in. Republican groups notably haven't aired ads here, though Cisneros is getting outside help. Both sides have, however, engaged heavily in the 48th District along the Orange County coast, where freshman Democratic Rep. Harley Rouda is trying to fend off Orange County Supervisor Michelle Steel in a seat Trump narrowly lost in 2016.
Democrats are also hoping to unseat Republican Rep. Tom McClintock in the 4th District in the Sacramento exurbs, though this is very much a long shot. Former Republican Rep. Darrell Issa is also favored to return to Congress by winning the 50th District in inland San Diego County, which is significantly more conservative than the seat he retired from in 2018, though Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar has been running a well-funded campaign. Finally, there’s an all-Democratic race in the open 53rd District between former State Department official Sara Jacobs, who has led in every poll that’s been released, and San Diego City Council President Georgette Gómez.
• Oregon: Longtime Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio has never had trouble winning reelection in the coastal 4th District despite its swingy nature at the presidential level, but Republicans unexpectedly decided to target him. Former Oregon National Guardsman Alek Skarlatos, who attracted international attention in 2015 when he helped stop a terrorist attack on a train in Europe, has been a strong fundraiser, and Democratic outside groups have responded by spending over $1 million here. It would still be a major surprise, though, if DeFazio lost in this political climate.
• Washington: Southern Washington’s 3rd District features another 2018 rematch between Republican Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler and Democrat Carolyn Long. The incumbent prevailed 53-47 two years ago and is favored again in a seat that moved towards Trump in 2016, but both parties began spending large amounts here in the final weeks. We also have an all-Democratic general for the open 10th District in the Tacoma area between former Tacoma Mayor Marilyn Strickland, who has a reputation as a moderate, and state Rep. Beth Doglio, the more progressive of the two. Strickland appears to have the edge.
12 AM ET
Alaska (Alaska Time Zone), Hawaii
• Alaska: Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan faces an unexpectedly tough battle against orthopedic surgeon Al Gross, an independent who has the Democratic nod. Gross has dramatically outspent Sullivan, and Democratic-aligned outside groups have also enjoyed a big financial edge. However, most polls, including some from pro-Gross groups, have found the incumbent at least narrowly ahead.
Finally, Republican Rep. Don Young, who has served as Alaska’s only House member since 1973, also faces a competitive rematch against Alyse Galvin, another independent who earned the Democratic Party's nomination. Young beat Galvin by a modest 53-47 in a 2018 contest that attracted little attention until the end, but this time, there has been heavy outside spending on both sides. Polling has been pretty scarce here, though a mid-October Siena poll showed Young with a 49-41 advantage.
1 AM ET
Alaska (rest of state)
It's going to be an exciting election night from 6 PM ET to the wee hours of the morning, and we'll be liveblogging every bit of it at Daily Kos Elections. See you there!