MN-Sen: 5381 challenges evaluated; Franken nets 280 [3 updates]

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Sunday December 14, 2008 · 7:35 PM PST

2008/12/14 · 19:35

The Minneapolis Star Tribune has setup a nifty section of its website devoted to allowing users to evaluate and decide challenged ballots in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race -- they call it the "Ballot Challenge". This weekend, I dove in head first and took the challenge... More below the fold.

Federalist

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Thursday November 02, 2006 · 10:33 AM PST

2006/11/02 · 10:33

SurveyUSA has released their final poll in KY-3. The latest shows that Louisville metro voters are on the verge of throwing GOPer Rep. Anne "91%" Northup over the side of the GOP's sinking ship. Not only is Democrat John Yarmuth now leading Northup by 8 points (right on the edge of being outside MoE), but the trend over the past few months has been fantastic!

KENTUCKY (3rd CD)
SurveyUSA for WHAS-11 TV. Between about 10/30-11/1. Likely voters. MoE ~4.3% (10/16-18 results) [9/26-28 results]

Yarmuth (D) 52 (48) [44]
Northup (R) 44 (47) [50]

Chuck Tood has just recently prognosticated that a DEM win in KY-3 portends huge GOP losses in the House -- on the order of 35 or more seats. Go Yarmuth!

Hat tip to the Bluegrass Report.

Oklahoma's First Openly Gay Legislator

Federalist

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Tuesday July 25, 2006 · 11:28 PM PDT

2006/07/25 · 23:28

Tuesday's primary election in Oklahoma garnered little nation-wide attention. And why should it have? Well, I'll give you one reason below. Read More

I'm a Meteorologist and KNOW FEMA Ignored Official Warnings [final update]

Federalist

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Tuesday September 06, 2005 · 12:08 AM PDT

2005/09/06 · 00:08

Update [2005-9-6 13:27:25 by Federalist]:
I had to insert this update at the top. The 2004 Hurricane "Pam" simulation summary found on FEMA'S OWN WEBSITE [Google cache], foretold overtopped levees -- other problems -- in NOLA.

Original post:

I felt compelled to post these this evening. Let it be known, I am a meteorologist. Last Saturday and Sunday I sat back, like many in my field did, and watched in horror as hurricane Katrina -- a storm of nearly unparalleled strength in recorded history -- barreled toward a certain landfall at or near New Orleans. What was most eerie about the situation was absolutely knowing what horrors and destruction were about to unfold along the Gulf Coast and in New Orleans. I get a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach when these things happen -- knowing beforehand that weather is surely about to kill. Yet, I was powerless to stop it. My only hope was that people had taken the warnings seriously and that FEMA and others were prepared to respond to what would undoubtedly be a horrific catastrophe.

Much more below the fold. Read More

State GOP Chairman Indicted; Scandal in KY

Federalist

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Tuesday July 12, 2005 · 5:52 PM PDT

2005/07/12 · 17:52

Big political news, which has been lost in the recent myriad of national political dramas, is ongoing in the state of Kentucky. Today, another bevy of indictments against high-ranking state GOP officials and members of Gov. Ernie Fletcher's (R) administration. Today's indictments include the state GOP chairman, Darrell Brock Jr., and two other officials (including Fletcher's personnel adviser). This news comes on the heels of three other earlier indictments (including Fletcher's deputy chief of staff), which was diaried last week here. The total number of indictments stands at eight now. More below the fold... Read More

My Plea: No Complaints About Election Day Weather!

Federalist

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Saturday October 30, 2004 · 10:37 PM PDT

2004/10/30 · 22:37

Ok, I've got something to ask of all Kossacks. Please, please, please no complains about the weather forecast for this Tuesday! I'll tell you right now, it's gunna rain in Ohio and parts of Pennsylvania on Tuesday. The conventional wisdom says that rain hurts Democrats. But, pardon the pun, I think it's all a wash. My concern is below. Read More

Former GOP Senator Slams Bush as 'Dangerous', Supports Kerry

Federalist

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Tuesday October 19, 2004 · 8:09 PM PDT

2004/10/19 · 20:09

The Louisville, KY Courier-Journal has done it again! On Tuesday they ran another stunning Op-Ed, this one penned by former US Senator Marlow Cook (R-KY), which contains an endorsement of Kerry and a blistering critique of the Bush Administration. Highlights below the fold. Read More

Unreal!! CBSnews.com Pushing "Bush Leads" Meme Hard

Federalist

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Monday October 18, 2004 · 8:29 PM PDT

2004/10/18 · 20:29

I can't believe what I'm seeing on the front page of www.cbsnews.com right now. Not only is the main story link "Bush Holds Narrow Lead In CBS Poll", but the "Bush Leads" story is pushed in no fewer than four additional story/video links on the front page...for a total of FIVE separate mentions. There are so many "Bush Leads" links that it's actually hard to count them all! I took a screen capture just in case they change the page. Count them for yourself. It's like a SCLM version of 'Where's Waldo'. I'm speechless...it's absolutely inexcusable. ARGH!

Even beside the fact that this Bush "lead" is a debatable point (at best), this obvious whoring for Bush by CBS is just utterly sickening. With CNN/USA Today/Gallup and now CBS leading the charge, it really says something that Kerry is gaining momentum right now.

CNN: Bush's Big Lead, "Roger" Salazar (D) for CO Senate. LOL!

Federalist

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Sunday October 10, 2004 · 1:48 AM PDT

2004/10/10 · 01:48

Well, I don't think that it's any secret, but CNN's stature as a "news" outlet has fallen significantly in recent years. A prime example of this can be found in an election "story" linked near the top on the front page of CNN.com right now.

This story, titled "CNN survey: Bush maintains Electoral College lead", is frankly a total piece of trash. Written by John Mercurio and Molly Levinson of CNN's political unit, they discuss Bush's current huge lead in the electoral college (which apparently is 301 Bush-237 Kerry, for everyone who wasn't aware that all the too-close-to-call states have finally made up their minds!). Wow, great work guys! I bet it took a lot of difficult nose-to-the-grindstone journalism to throw this analysis together. I bet they even took the time to visit www.electoral-vote.com or 2.004k.com for all the latest polls and EV totals. So smart of them! ... Wait though, both those websites show a Kerry lead in the electoral college. Oh well, let's just call it a beginner's mistake... Read More

OK-Sen: Carson needs media HELP now!!!

Federalist

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Friday October 08, 2004 · 12:57 AM PDT

2004/10/08 · 00:57

A rather significant "media gap" seems to have developed between Carson (D) and Coburn (R) in the Oklahoma US Senate race. Coburn, the NRSC, and now the uber-Conservative Club for Growth are all running very harsh "liberal" attack TV ads about Carson. All the GOP spots (as over-the-top and hideously untrue as they are) are very much on message and compliment one another very well. My feeling is that these ads will hurt Carson significantly if they continue without a big response.

This is a critical point in the campaign. I was very glad to hear BlogPAC is getting involved here. Also, Thursday's endorsement of Brad Carson by former Dallas Cowboys and University of Oklahoma football coach Barry Switzer is a good jumping off point for building a strong final push. [By the way, Switzer's endorsement of Brad Henry for Oklahoma Governor in 2002 (along with the political dynamics associated with the state question to ban cock-fighting) is considered a big factor in Henry's huge upset win over Republican Steve Largent.]

See below for more... Read More

KY-Sen: Mongiardo Surging?

Federalist

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Thursday October 07, 2004 · 8:49 PM PDT

2004/10/07 · 20:49

A new SUSA poll out today shows Democrat Dr. Dan Mongiardo making up considerable ground in recent weeks against Republican US Senator Jim Bunning in Kentucky.

SUSA-KY Sen Poll. 10/4-10/6. 615 LV, MOE +/- 4%. (8/16 results)
Mongiardo: 40 (33)
Bunning: 51 (57)

More about the state of the race below... Read More

OK-Sen: New Ind. Carson-Coburn Poll

Federalist

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Monday October 04, 2004 · 4:39 PM PDT

2004/10/04 · 16:39

Wilson Research Strategies has released their new weekly poll (crosstabs here) for Oklahoma, including numbers for the Carson-Coburn US Senate race. Without further ado:

Oct 1-3, 2004. 500 LV (+/- 4.4% MOE)
Vote for US Senator
Carson (D): 43%
Coburn (R): 41%
Bilyeu (I): 2%
Undecided: 14%

Vote for President
Kerry (D): 28%
Bush (R): 58%
Undecided: 14%

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