ELIZABETH!!

dnta

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Tuesday November 06, 2012 · 6:43 PM PST

2012/11/06 · 18:43

Ted Kennedy can sleep well now!

Get yer timeline of Election Night results right here!

dnta

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 9:25 AM PST

2012/11/04 · 09:25

Hot off the presses, here's your exclusive, before-the-fact timeline of the key moments and outcomes that will be reported on upcoming Election Night, November 6, 2012. Plan your celebrations and bathroom breaks accordingly:

(It all starts on Page 2)

dnta

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Saturday October 27, 2012 · 8:54 PM PDT

2012/10/27 · 20:54

EDIT: I kind of buried the lede, I think, so I'm presenting it here in a revised intro/headline:

In fact, every single newly registered voter that Team Obama has signed up, anywhere in the country, over the past couple of years is automatically disqualified as a Likely Voter under Gallup's methodology.

There's a surge happening, President Obama's support is solidifying in swing states, stabilizing nationally, with a probable margin of about 4% to 5% over Romney (52-47) on the horizon. Ohio is solid, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa as well, and odds are starting to favor Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire, with an outside shot at North Carolina. Why? Well, because a majority of Americans, and of voters, approve of the President, distrust Mitt Romney and the Republicans, and want to keep Barack Obama in the White House.

What might stop that from happening? If Democratic voters don't show up at the polls. If a big chunk of those out there who want and intend to vote for President Obama decide to be lazy, stay home, and blow off the election, while Republican Romney supporters faithfully carry out their electoral duties.

That's what the Gallup organization thinks will happen. More precisely, Gallup employs a methodology that inherently assumes that a large portion of the electorate will stay away from the polls, even including many who tell them that they fully intend to vote. Much has been said about Gallup's heavily conservative (in more ways than one) Likely Voter vs. Registered Voter methods and results, but I haven't seen any detailed discussion of exactly how Gallup applies its LV screen, and how it systematically excludes a great many people who are, in fact, highly "likely" to vote for the President.

I'll explain on Page 2.

dnta

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Wednesday September 26, 2012 · 7:14 PM PDT

2012/09/26 · 19:14

Please forgive any typos, I've got tears in my eyes and my sides are shaking:

Mitt Romney cites Massachusetts health care law as sign of his empathy

Mitt Romney on Wednesday cited his record in shepherding through the Massachusetts health care law as a sign of his empathy for all people...
“Don’t forget -- I got everybody in my state insured,” Romney told NBC late Wednesday afternoon. “One hundred percent of the kids in our state had health insurance. I don’t think there’s anything that shows more empathy and care about the people of this country than that kind of record.”

And then, and then, get this... oh God, please make it stop! Then he...

Romney made the comments just before going on stage in Toledo, for a rally in which Romney used President Obama’s health care law as a chief example of what’s wrong with the current administration....
“I will repeal Obamacare and replace it with real health care reform,” Romney said during the rally. “Obamacare is really Exhibit No. 1 of the president’s political philosophy, and that is that government knows better than people how to run your lives.”

Ow! Ow! Ow!

Secret Dem Conspiracy Group: Careful, we almost blew this one!

dnta

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Tuesday September 18, 2012 · 3:41 PM PDT

2012/09/18 · 15:41

Hi again, everyone in the Secret Democratic Election Manipulation Task Force. As always, we appreciate your participation in this hidden, non-public corner of our DailyKos Conspiracy Headquarters. Remember to always be careful when you log in; one time I almost used my public DKos account to post a Task Force Action Memo, which might have blown our cover altogether!

Anyway, the purpose of this message is to recognize that, while this week's initiative -- "Romney Secret Videotape Release" -- is turning out to be quite effective, it was almost launched prematurely. Somehow, a couple of unauthorized, non-Conspiracy members seem to have obtained our video clips of Mitt Romney confessing his contempt for average Americans, and they attempted to post them on-line before we had scheduled their release.

Luckily, these premature postings were largely ignored, so they didn't interfere much with last week's program, "Romney Reveals Foreign Policy Amateurism".

So just to remind everyone and keep us all on the same page, let's review again the key elements of our 2012 strategy going forward:

After a successful July highlighted by the effective "Romney Foreign Policy Incompetence Tour" initiative, we were even more successful in August, as we managed to push Romney to select right-wing extremist Paul Ryan as his VP, planted the idea that the GOP Convention should feature Clint Eastwood in prime time (great job, Brother Eastwood!), and had our operatives surreptitiously delete references to Afghanistan and the military from Romney's acceptance speech.

As mentioned, last week's Middle East foreign policy initiative went very well. Now with the Secret Video release in full swing, we have a several more new programs that we're preparing to roll out over the next few weeks. These include:

"Romney Kicks Cute Puppy Out of the Way at Campaign Event"

"Romney Announces He will Nuke Iran on January 31 if Elected"

"Romney Drops Pants during National TV Debate"

"Romney Caught on Audio/Video Calling Obama the "N" word"

"Romney Shouts at Florida Senior Citizen, 'Just Die, You F*'ing Freeloader!'"

So remember, we've got a lot more of these actions yet to come, let's not jump the gun! This is a well-organized, meticulously planned strategy, people! We need to be careful not to mix up our steady, persistent flow of campaign manipulating events. If we allow too many Romney screw-ups in too short a time, people might start suspecting that these are being orchestrated by us... nobody could be that incompetent!

ABC News poll report buries the lede: Obama crushing Romney in battleground states

dnta

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Monday September 10, 2012 · 11:11 PM PDT

2012/09/10 · 23:11

ABC News has reported on its new poll with the Washington Post, and in a desperate attempt to maintain the narrative that the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney is still a dead heat, has run with the headline:

Obama Gains a Convention Boost - But Not Among Likely Voters

This is based on their poll's finding that Obama now leads Romney nationally by a healthy 50% to 44% among Registered Voters, but the margin shrinks to only 49-48 when they apply their Likely Voter filter. Never mind that even the LV result shows a 3-point bounce for Obama compared with their own previous poll, that's within the margin of error, so the race is still tied. Also never mind that their entire sample of only 826 RVs has an error margin of 4%, and they don't bother to tell us how many of those RVs turned out to be LVs, which probably raises their MOE to 6% or higher for the lesser sample. They want to show a dead-heat, and they do.

HOWEVER, the big headline, which ABC buries deep in the 5th paragraph of the story, so as not to distract from their narrative, is that their own poll shows that Obama is wiping up the floor with Romney in the key Battleground States:

Additionally, there's been a shift in preferences in the eight tossup states identified by the ABC News Political Unit: Registered voters in these states now favor Obama over Romney by 54-40 percent, vs. 42-48 percent in these same states before the party conventions.

Come on, guys, admit it: that's not a "shift of preferences," that's a 20-point earthquake! And it puts the lie to your spin that the race remains "wide open"... The President is up by 14 points on average across the critical battleground states? That's landslide territory! That's a blowout of historic proportions!

Pretty soon, the Trad Med are going to have to start rethinking their fetish for predicting a tight race, and retool their narratives toward prognosticating about the Second Obama Term. Or they'll just (continue to) look like idiots.

Scott Brown is outraged that too many poor people might be able to vote

dnta

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Wednesday August 08, 2012 · 3:50 PM PDT

2012/08/08 · 15:50

Scott Brown has finally gone over the edge in his showdown with Elizabeth Warren for the MA-Sen seat. Now he's whining that too many poor people are being given the opportunity to cast their vote -- and of course, the poor are more likely to choose Ms. Warren, right?!

US Senator Scott Brown today criticized the state’s welfare department for sending voting registration forms to 478,000 people on public assistance, saying the mass mailing was a ploy to boost the ranks of Democratic voters and benefit rival Elizabeth Warren’s campaign.
The state’s Department of Transitional Assistance last month sent registration forms, along with prepaid return envelopes, as part of a settlement over a lawsuit accusing the Patrick administration of violating the federal “motor voter” law.

It requires states to provide voter registration at motor vehicle and public assistance offices.

...“I want every legal vote to count, but it’s outrageous to use taxpayer dollars to register welfare recipients as part of a special effort to boost one political party over another,” the senator said in a statement.

Brown's position is heinous on multiple levels:

(please turn to Page 2)

dnta

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Friday August 03, 2012 · 11:13 AM PDT

2012/08/03 · 11:13

Freaking Rasmussen has a poll out today showing Democrat Joe Donnelly only 2 points behind Republican Teabagger Richard Mourdock in the Indiana Senate race:

The U.S. Senate race in Indiana remains a dead heat between Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly and Tea Party-backed State Treasurer Richard Mourdock.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Hoosier State finds Mourdock earning 42% of the vote, while Donnelly draws support from 40%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, but another 15% are still undecided.

If Ras has Donnelly down by 2, then chances are that the "real" race is probably a couple of points in the Democrat's favor. This was the outcome we hoped would happen when Indiana's Republicans dumped the generally respected and not-completely-lunatic Dick Lugar in favor of wild-eyed Tea Partier Mourdock. There may be just enough "middle-of-the-road" Reps and Independents in Indiana, including those who were strong Lugar supporters, to tip this election to Donnelly.

If Indiana goes Democratic, the Senate stays in Dem hands, no question about it. This should have been a solid "keep" for the Republicans. The RNC must be pulling their hair out! At a minimum, they'll be forced to dump a ton of money into a race that should have been a foregone conclusion.

But now this raises a new question: if a Teabagger candidate in conservative Indiana can possibly shift the tide enough to elect a Democrat, what about Texas? Will **Ted Cruz's high-profile affiliation with the Tea Party have a similar effect on some sliver of Texans who may lean conservative, but be uncomfortable with batshit crazy? The most recent PPP poll gave Cruz a 10-point lead over Paul Sadler, 44% to 34%, but that was back in April.

Given that Cruz is already pushing the idea that his candidacy, and the entire election, are about pushing the country off the deep-end of Tea Party extremes on budget, taxes, etc., I'd like to think that there's room for movement even in the Lone Star State.

Romney reaffirms his "culture" bigotry

dnta

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Wednesday August 01, 2012 · 8:42 AM PDT

2012/08/01 · 08:42

Amazingly, Mitt Romney has decided that the controversial, insulting, and bone-headed remarks he made in Israel, which ignited passionate anger among Palestinians (and others), need to be reasserted, even more aggressively:

WASHINGTON -- Mitt Romney on Tuesday night doubled down on his argument that “culture” has played a role in making certain societies more prosperous, comments that ignited a firestorm of controversy while he was in the Middle East.
Romney, upon concluding his foreign trip and arriving back in Boston, had an op-ed published in the National Review Online that was headlined, “Culture Does Matter.” The piece came about 36 hours after he angered Palestinians when he told a group of Jewish donors in Jerusalem that Israelis’ culture had helped them become more economically successful than the Palestinians.

“During my recent trip to Israel, I had suggested that the choices a society makes about its culture play a role in creating prosperity, and that the significant disparity between Israeli and Palestinian living standards was powerfully influenced by it,” Romney wrote in his op-ed. “In some quarters, that comment became the subject of controversy.”

“But what exactly accounts for prosperity if not culture?” he added.

Romney argued that having a culture that promotes freedom is what drives powerful economies.

Somehow, he sees this argument as a strength? So he's running with it? OMFG!

Please turn to Page 2

dnta

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Wednesday March 21, 2012 · 2:36 PM PDT

2012/03/21 · 14:36

This is what I want to see, and I'm not joking in the least:

When President Obama debates Mitt Romney, I want him to have an iPad with him on the lectern.

It should be pre-loaded with every possible video of Romney's greatest hits, both from the present Republican nomination campaign (asserting his severe conservativosity, promising to dump Planned Parenthood, endorsing Ryan's budgets, denigrating unions, you name it), as well as past speeches and comments extolling the Romneycare mandates, contradicting himself over and back again, etc.

When Romney comes up with a whopper during a debate -- which should be about 30 seconds in -- Obama should quickly click on the relevant polar-opposite Romney statement(s), hold the iPad up to the camera and microphone, and simply play back the hypocrisy for the nation to behold.

For more, please turn to page 2.

dnta

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Saturday February 25, 2012 · 3:57 PM PST

2012/02/25 · 15:57

Regardless of what happens this Tuesday in Michigan and Arizona, the prospects for the following week, which include Washington's caucuses on Saturday and the Super Tuesday contests on March 6, are looking foreboding for Sir Mittster.

I respectfully disagree with this suggestion from our esteemed poll watcher, Steve Singiser:

New polling shows the former Massachusetts governor solidifying his lead in Arizona, and quite possibly edging into the lead in Michigan. If those new polls are correct, Tuesday will afford Romney to opportunity to portray himself as "comeback kid." And if that is the story four days from now, a lot of the Super Tuesday polling we have seen may well go out the window.

There's been no indication, throughout this campaign, that Romney is capable of generating the traditional form of "momentum" that has occurred in past primary races. A strong majority of Republican voters and poll respondents has consistently opposed his candidacy, by margins of 30-70 or thereabouts, and that has not changed regardless of whether he has won or lost various states. All that has changed has been the name of the Anti-Romney. I see absolutely no reason to believe that, even if Mitt wins Michigan and Arizona by a few percentage points (but remains well below a majority in both), he will somehow gain significant new support in subsequent contests.

With that in mind, the most recent polls in the Super Tuesday contests paint a very grim picture for Mr. Inevitable.

Please turn to Page 2

dnta

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Thursday February 23, 2012 · 11:39 AM PST

2012/02/23 · 11:39

Stand back, wingnut heads are about to explode across the land:

President Obama apologized Thursday in a letter to Afghan President Hamid Karzai for the burning of Korans at the largest American military base in Afghanistan, according to the White House and Karzai's office. The incident at Bagram Air Base has fueled days of angry protests in the war-torn country.
"I wish to express my deep regret for the reported incident," Karzai's office quoted Obama as saying in the message. "The error was inadvertent; I assure you that we will take the appropriate steps to avoid any recurrence, to include holding accountable those responsible."

The incident in which Korans were destroyed on a U.S. military base was (apparently) a mistake, rather than a deliberate provocation by rogue soldiers, but it has unleashed angry protests that have left 14 people dead in Nangarhar province, including two U.S. soldiers shot by an enraged Afghan soldier.

Please turn to Page 2.

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ELIZABETH!!

Get yer timeline of Election Night results right here!

"Yes, I'll vote, I'll definitely vote"... you may be an Unlikely Voter, says Gallup

Please, please stop, it's too funny, I can't take it any more!

Secret Dem Conspiracy Group: Careful, we almost blew this one!

ABC News poll report buries the lede: Obama crushing Romney in battleground states

Scott Brown is outraged that too many poor people might be able to vote

New Ras Poll shows Indiana Senate within Reach! Can Texas be far behind?

Romney reaffirms his "culture" bigotry

Forget teleprompters: Obama should bring an iPad to the debates!

Is anyone looking ahead to Super Tuesday? Romney's going to get stomped!

Obama, that freakin' Muslim, apologizes for Koran burnings!