The recent impeachment of Governor R Blagojevich let more clear the situation for this race. Now in Illinois have new governor who will can run like incumbent.
The new governor, Pat Quinn, get now like outstanding democrat candidate for this race, and can have more advantage over possibly republican candidates.
In republican side the more strong politic can be former governor J Edgar, but seems retired until new news. I think if J Edgar return, he can bid for senate against R Burris. Former senator P Fitzgerald seems more weak, and he can run too for senate. We can see what feel and think the people about they in next links:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states I
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states II.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states III.
Republicans in this state have few more. Now not have statewide officers, and all young former officers have lost any election last years. P Roskam and M Kirk US House representatives, who sound for senate and for gubernatorial races can be the strongest candidates, with D Manzullo. Again we can see like their best names sound for all races.
Like for all other states i will add the list of possible candidates in democratic side:
- William Michael Daley: IL 1948 Secreatry of Commerce 97-00.
- John Podesta: IL 1949 Chief of Staff 98-01.
- Patrick Joseph Quinn: IL 1948 Governor of Illinois 99- . Lieutenant Governor of IL 03-09. IL State Treasurer 91-95. Lost for Senate 96. Lost for Lieutenant Governor of IL 98. Lost for IL Secretary of State 94. Lost for IL State Treasurer 86.
- Jesse Louis Jackson: SC IL 1965 USHRep 95- .
- Jerry Francis Costello: IL 1949 USHRep 88- .
- Luis Vicente Gutierrez: IL 1953 USHRep 93- .
- Daniel William Lipinski: IL 1966 USHRep 05- .
- Melissa Luburic Bean: IL 1962 USHRep 05- . Lost for House 02.
- Bobby Lee Rush: GA IL 1946 USHRep 93- . Lost for Mayor of Chicago 99.
- Danniel K Davis: AR IL 1941 USHRep 97- .
- Janice D Schakowsky: IL 1944 USHRep 99- .
- George William Foster: WI IL 1955 USHRep 08- .
- Deborah DeFrancesco Halvorson: IL 1958 USHRep 09- .
- Michael Quigley: IN IL 1958 USHRep 09- . (updated)
- Philip G Hare: IL 1949 USHRep 07- .
- Lane Allen Evans: IL 1951 USHRep 83-07.
- Terry Lee Bruce: IL 1944 USHRep 85-93. Lost for House 78 and 92.
- Glenn Poshard: IL 1945 USHRep 89-99. Lost for Governor 98.
- John W Cox: WI IL 1947 USHRep 91-93. Lost for House 92.
- David Dwain Phelps: IL 1947 USHRep 99-03. Lost for House 02.
- Lisa Madigan: IL 1966 IL Attorney General 03- .
- Daniel W Hynes: IL 1968 IL Comptroller 99- . Lost for Senate 04.
- Alexander Giannoulias: IL 1976 IL Treasurer 07- .
- Richard M Daley: IL 1942 Mayor of Chicago 89. Lost for Mayor of Chicago 83.
- Ladda "Tammy" Duckworth: THA IL 1968 Lost for House 06.
This list let we see like two important names near Obama (W Daley and J Podesta) get without first level office. Maybe they run for anything? W Daley sound for governor, but now, with P Quinn like governor, i dont know if he will run.
We can see too young people in the US House and in state level offices. That is good. They sound too for senate and/or gubernatorial race. I think they have time for came to first level. I hope all they not try for the same offices at same time.
P Quinn governor and R Burris senator can have primaries, but fortunately in Illinois not seems they have strong internal figths after the unanimous impeachment of Blagojevich. Maybe the incumbents can survive to this primaries or not, but i dont think we will see exceptional aggressiveness. In this state seems democratic candidates can beat firsts republicans, and that help.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---
The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:
NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.
We can see results for these states in next link:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?
More interesting races:
AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
visit next diaries:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.
All the polls are open if you like to vote.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.