NYS Senate Races to Watch: Eight Days to Go.

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Monday October 31, 2016 · 2:13 PM PDT

2016/10/31 · 14:13

Here’s an update to my previous post. This post will focus on the tossup races. For those looking for the Senate maps, they can be found here. More information on the demographics of the districts can be found here.

Disastermarch17

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Monday October 03, 2016 · 4:54 PM PDT

2016/10/03 · 16:54

The New York State primaries were held a few weeks ago on September 13. NY holds its state primaries separately from its federal primaries for reasons that differ depending on who you ask. This diary will focus on changes and/or news since my last diary, which can be found here. All the matchups and my rankings of these races can be found here. I’ve chosen to not write about any elections that are either uncontested, have minor challengers to an incumbent, or have had virtually no news to speak of. A note about rankings: since there’s not a ton of polling, I have to make these judgements based on available information, and my own perception. Feel free to disagree with my rankings.

Disastermarch17

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Tuesday July 05, 2016 · 12:05 PM PDT

2016/07/05 · 12:05

This is part of an ongoing series following what’s going on in the NYS Senate. The first part of this series can be found here. From here on out, I’ll only write about races that have changed since the last diary. For districts that don’t appear, I’ve either seen no movement in the race, or there’s only a nominal challenger to the incumbent. My race ratings lean conservative, in part because petitioning isn’t over (petitions for the September primary were due at the end of June), and campaigns haven’t really begun in earnest yet.

Disastermarch17

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Wednesday February 17, 2016 · 6:04 AM PST

2016/02/17 · 06:04

This list seeks to explain the state of the New York State Senate. I did my best to cite specific articles regarding these races; however, many of the districts are uncompetitive and there simply isn’t much to work with. It’s still early, and these races are very much in flux. This is an initial election outlook, and hopefully I will do an update on relevant races closer to the election. All ratings are subjective and can change as circumstances change.

Disastermarch17

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Monday December 28, 2015 · 5:03 PM PST

2015/12/28 · 17:03

Dean Skelos, former New York State Senate Majority Leader, was convicted on eight federal corruption charges earlier this month. Upon this conviction, Skelos automatically lost his seat in the senate. This is particularly interesting because this southwestern Nassau County seat went for President Obama in 2012 54%-46%. In addition, the partisan breakdown of the state senate is currently tied (with the IDC and Sen. Simcha Felder (D-Borough Park) caucusing with the Republicans.

Disastermarch17

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Wednesday October 07, 2015 · 3:17 PM PDT

2015/10/07 · 15:17

No one would accuse Governor Cuomo of being a loyal democrat—except Governor Cuomo himself. Sure, in his first term he passed same sex marriage and gun control bills. However, his budgets have often been draconian, he has run roughshod over the legislature, he has a lot of sketchy ties to massive real estate developers, and maybe, at least from a political angle, he has a tacit understanding with the state senate republicans of a non-aggression pact.

Why does this matter? The senate republicans used to have a fairly substantial majority in the chamber, so it wasn't unusual for a democratic governor to have to work with the republicans. I'm not here to criticize Cuomo for working with republicans from a governing perspective; what I'm looking at is the larger political reality that Cuomo is keeping the senate republicans in power despite the fact that he could very easily have a democratic senate.

RSS

NYS Senate Races to Watch: Eight Days to Go.

Update: NYS Senate Post-Primary Edition

Update: The State of the NYS Senate

The New York State Senate: An Analysis of All 63 Senate Seats

NYS Senate Special Election Analysis: SD-9

NY State Senate: District 52 Special Election Analysis