Surely very much people think Ohio will be one of more important states in 2010 elections with the open seat in the senate race and this race for governor.
We can not tell Ohio is a blue state. We can not tell Ohio is a red state. But now i think is more near blues than reds. Democratic Party must try win all first level races in 2010, and for that surely will must make special efforts, and will must run with the best candidates.
For Ohio's races, i think is important tell republicans are making sound all their best, and is interesting their job for recruit candidates in this state and in others.
This is the list of possible democratic candidates:
- Ted Strickland: OH 1941 Governor of Ohio 07- . USHRep 93-95 and 97-07. Lost for House 76 78 80 and 94.
- Timothy J Ryan: OH 1973 USHRep 03- .
- Marcia Carolin Kaptur: OH 1946 USHRep USHRep 83- .
- Betty Sue Sutton: OH 1963 USHRep 07- .
- Zachary T Space: OH 1961 USHRep 07- .
- John Boccieri: OH 1969 USHRep 09- .
- Steven L Driehaus: OH 1966 USHRep 09- .
- Dennis John Kucinich: OH 1946 USHRep 97- . Mayor of Cleveland 78-79. Lost for President 04 and 08. Lost for House 88 and 92. Lost for Mayor of Cleveland 78 (against Voinovich). Lost for OH Senate 82 (against Sherrod Brown). Lost for OH House 72 and 74.
- Marcia L Fudge: OH 1952 USHRep 08- .
- Charlie Wilson: OH 1943 USHRep 07- .
- Mary Jo Kilroy: OH 1949 USHRep 09- . Lost for House 06. Lost for OH Senate 96.
- Dennis Edward Eckart: OH 1950 USHRep 81-93.
- Edward F Feighan: OH 1947 USHRep 83-93. Lost for Mayor of Cleveland 77 (against Kucinich).
- Thomas Charles Sawyer: OH 1945 USHRep 87-03. Lost for House 02 and 06 (against Ryan and Sutton).
- Charles J Luken: OH 1951 USHRep 91-93. Mayor of Cincinnati 84-91 99-05. Lost for council of Cincinnati 79.
- Eric David Fingerhut: OH 1959 USHRep 93-95. Lost for Senate 04. Lost for Governor 06. Lost for House 94.
- Lee Fisher: MI OH 1951 Lieutenant Governor of Ohio 07- . OH Attorney General 91-95. Lost for Governor 98. Lost for OH Attorney General 94.
- Kevin Boyce: OH 1971 OH State Treasurer 09- .
- Jennifer Lee Brunner: OH 1957 OH Secretary of State 07- .
- Richard Cordray: OH 1959 OH Attorney General 09. OH State Treasurer 07-09. Lost for Senate 00. Lost for OH Attorney General 98. Lost for OH House 92.
The list is the same what we have for senate race. If Ted Strickland not change and run for senate, i think not will have primaries for governor with serious candidates.
Ohio Democratic Party must find a second strong candidate for 2010 races. Who can defeat republican candidates?
This is the list of possible republican candidates:
- Robert Jones Portman: OH 1955 Director of OMB 06-07. US Trade Representative 05-06. USHRep 93-05.
- Richard Michael DeWine: OH 1947 Senator from Ohio 95-07. Lieutenant Governor of OH 91-94. USHRep 83-91. Lost for senate 06.
- Nancy Putnam Hollister: OH 1949 Governor of Ohio 98-99. Lieutenant Governor of OH 95-98. Lost for House 98. Lost for OH House 04.
- Steven C LaTourette: OH 1954 USHRep 95- .
- Patrick Joseph Tiberi: OH 1962 USHRep 01- .
- James D Jordan: OH 1964 USHRep 07- .
- John Andrew Boehner: OH 1949 USHRep 91- .
- Michael R Turner: OH 1960 USHRep 03- . Lost for Mayor of Dayton 01.
- Jeannette Marie Hoffman Schmidt: OH 1951 USHRep 05- .
- Robert Edward Latta: OH 1956 USHRep 07- .
- Stephen Austria: OH 1958 USHRep 09- .
- John Richard Kasich: OH 1952 USHRep 83-01. Lost for President 00.
- Robert D McEwen: OH 1950 USHRep 81-93. Lost for Senate 88. Lost for House 92 93 05 and 06.
- Michael Garver Oxley: OH 1944 USHRep 81-07.
- Deborah D Pryce: OH 1951 USHRep 93-09.
- Martin R Hoke: OH 1952 USHRep 93-97. Lost for House 96.
- Steven Chabot: OH 1953 USHRep 95-09. Lost for House 88 and 08. Lost for Cincinnati City Council 79 and 83.
- Maureen O'Connor: DC OH 1951 Lieutenant Governor of OH 99-03.
- Jeannette B Bradley: OH 19?? Lieutenant Governor of OH 03-05. OH State Treasurer 05-07. Lost for OH State Treasurer 07.
- Bruce Edward Johnson: OH 1960 Liutenant Governor of OH 05-06. Lost for Columbus City Attorney 97.
- Mary Taylor: OH 196? OH State Auditor 07- .
They try with R Portman for senate. I think R Portman is not very strong, but is one of their bests. A man of Bush, a man who came from Bush administration not seems the best for a state what recently reject republicans and their bad cabinet. What make R Portman for make good Bush cabinet? His job contribute to make bad the Bush cabinet. Surely hard republicans not have this perception. They not see that, but they not are majority now in Ohio.
For governor they make sound the name of former senator Mike DeWine, and the name of former representative J Kasich. M DeWine was defeated for senate in 2006. Seems unpopular betwen democrats. Not are signs of strongness, but S Brown is surely the first democrat in the state. M Kasich, former representative and president of commission, retires after try run for president in 2000. Only lost in this bid for president. He decline run in 2006 for governor, but now we dont know.
In the polls seems M DeWine can win J Kasich in primaries, for that in today's poll will be M DeWine. Maybe M DeWine not run, and finally run for OH Attorney General, but seems the strongest for governors race. I think M DeWine can try run for OH Attorney General thinking in run for governor in 2014 with open seat, but i think not is sure he can defeat young incumbent R Cordray.
For Ohio and for other important states, republicans are making sound and are recruiting their best. I hope see this same in democratic side.
If this top republicans are defeated in 2010, Ohio will be blue state for some years.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---
The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:
NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.
We can see results for these states in next link:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?
More interesting races:
AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
visit next diaries:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.
All the polls are open if you like to vote.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.