TX: 0D-9R-27T

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Saturday May 12, 2012 · 12:21 PM PDT

2012/05/12 · 12:21

After drawing a map of North Carolina that contained 12 competitive districts, I wanted to see what could be done in other states. Due mainly to south Texas, this map isn't quite as clean as my NC map, but I think it gets the job done. See below.

elucas730

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Friday May 11, 2012 · 8:16 AM PDT

2012/05/11 · 08:16

This was just a quick, fun little experiment to see how many NC districts I could make competitive. Obviously, VRA gets thrown out the window. And I admit that while I call some of these districts tossups/competitive (due solely on Obama/McCain numbers), there are incumbent Democrats who would be very comfortable with these districts.

elucas730

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Saturday May 05, 2012 · 7:42 AM PDT

2012/05/05 · 07:42

Whatever you think of Tim Holden, the fact is that he has had a major impact on how Republicans have drawn eastern Pennsylvania's congressional districts for the past two cycles. In this diary, I take a look at what Republicans could have drawn if they didn't have to worry about Tim Holden.

elucas730

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Tuesday February 14, 2012 · 5:12 PM PST

2012/02/14 · 17:12

Per the PA redistricting contest, here's my submission for PA Senate. Drawing the 50-seat Senate was much, much easier than the 203-seat House. Easier to keep townships together, easier to keep counties together, and less overall change.

There were really only two major changes: The Allegheny County-based, Dem-held 45th district was eliminated and moved to Berks County. The Dem-held 32nd loses some strong Dem areas and picks up some strong Republican areas and would probably flip parties.

This map maintains the 4 Philly black majority districts. The 2nd is a 38% Hispanic plurality district. Here's a statewide shot:

DRF: PA Sen map

elucas730

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Saturday February 11, 2012 · 12:02 PM PST

2012/02/11 · 12:02

Here's my submission for the PA House redistricting contest. It was tedious enough drawing the 203 districts; it's even more tedious writing it up. So for now, I'm just throwing out a couple pictures and a summary.

elucas730

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Sunday November 13, 2011 · 9:46 AM PST

2011/11/13 · 09:46

Less than a week ago, Republicans in Mississippi won the House (now 64-58 after Dem Rep. Donnie Bell switched parties on Friday), giving them control of government for the first time since Reconstruction. And because redistricting was not completed before this election, Republicans will be free to run wild and draw themselves very favorable maps.

The Congressional map will be straightforward: the GOP will pack as many Democrats as possible into the 2nd district and leave the other 3 districts heavily Republican. The Senate and House districts, however, should have a few changes as Republicans try to undo a century of Democratic gerrymandering.

elucas730

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Wednesday November 09, 2011 · 4:46 PM PST

2011/11/09 · 16:46

With Republicans effectively taking control of the Virginia Senate, I wanted to see what a Republican-drawn Virginia map might look like. The result is 8 McCain districts and 3 Obama districts. Not all that different from the compromise map they had earlier this year.

elucas730

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Sunday August 21, 2011 · 6:39 AM PDT

2011/08/21 · 06:39

The Georgia Legislature released Senate and House maps last week. While there will be some tweaking this week, especially with the House map, the end result should be pretty close to this.

The goal for Georgia Republicans is to get a 2/3 majority in the House and Senate. Here in the Senate, they need to add just one more seat to the current 36-20 map. I'm not an expert in Georga politics, but with a little research, I think my analysis ends up pretty good. If there's any additional info that I missed or got wrong, feel free to post it.

Here's a statewide view I drew up in DRA:

I'd suggest taking a look at the maps drawn up by the legislature for more detail:

Senate map
http://www1.legis.ga.gov/...

Metro area
http://www1.legis.ga.gov/...

Columbus and Macon
http://www1.legis.ga.gov/...

Savannah and Augusta
http://www1.legis.ga.gov/...

elucas730

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Thursday July 28, 2011 · 6:21 PM PDT

2011/07/28 · 18:21

Well, this is my attempt at something different.

For 2001 redistricting, Democrats controlled the governorship and state House. The result was a ridiculously gerrymandered incumbent protection map. In 2008, this map helped Democrats gain a slim 52-48 advantage; however, the 2010 Republican wave swept over the state and Republicans gained the trifecta in the state. The new map is actually much more compact than before, but the results are perhaps the worst outside of North Carolina. Neither house of the Indiana legislature is likely to go Dem in the next decade. Here's my analysis of the state House districts.

elucas730

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Monday July 25, 2011 · 7:36 AM PDT

2011/07/25 · 07:36

There have been quite a few excellent 8D-0R and 7D-1R MD maps drawn. I haven't done a MD map yet, so I was thinking if I could do something different from everyone else. I ended up with this: a Maryland map that supports three African-American majority districts.

I did not attempt to maximize Democratic seats in this map. I did not pay attention to incumbents. My only goal was to see if 3 AA seats were at least possible and to draw compact districts. The answer is that it is possible, and the result isn't good. I may attempt another 3 AA-majority map to see if I can get to 6-2 or 7-1. As it is, it is a solid 5-3 map.

elucas730

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Wednesday July 13, 2011 · 12:18 PM PDT

2011/07/13 · 12:18

Redistricting is one of the most heated, contentious, divisive pieces of legislation that a state legislature will face. NY's Senate is one of the most dysfunctional, contentious, and divisive governmental bodies in the country (remember the "gang of four" attempted coup in 2009? How about the 4 senators who caucus as "Independent Democrats"?). This should be fun.

Thanks to Mark Grisanti's 2010 upset win in a 77% Obama district, Republicans gained control of the NY Senate and ultimately, a seat at the redistricting table. The thanks he will receive...getting cut out of his Senate seat. Due to population shifts, Western NY MUST lose a Senate seat during redistricting. Downstate will gain this seat; in this map I place it in midtown Manhattan.

The contentious part of redistricting will concern what Republicans are going to get in return for losing a seat. However, at 77% Obama, Democrats must think that this is "their" seat that is only going to be occupied by a Republican until 2012. This is where the contention comes in, especially with control of the Senate hanging in the balance. He's my take on what could happen...

elucas730

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Tuesday July 12, 2011 · 11:37 AM PDT

2011/07/12 · 11:37

http://www.ncga.state.nc.us/...

Senate map first

House map

Newer
Older

RSS

TX: 0D-9R-27T

NC: 0D-1R-12T

PA without Holden

PA Senate redistricted

PA House redistricted

Republican MS State Senate

A Republican Virginia

Georgia State Senate analysis

Indiana State House of Representatives analysis

MD: Three AA-majority districts?

Redistricting the NY Senate

NC Legislative Maps released