New House ratings show 18 GOP seats in toss-up/lean categories Add to Hotlist

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Tuesday April 28, 2009 · 7:46 AM PDT

2009/04/28 · 07:46

For all political junkies out there, Campaign Diaries has just published the first part of its 2010 House ratings, devoted to GOP-held seats that could be competitive in 2010.

Poll

72 votes Show Results

Other than LA-02, which is the most endangered GOP seat?

72 votes Vote Now!

Other than LA-02, which is the most endangered GOP seat?

AK-AL

2 votes

DE-AL

24 votes

IL-10

16 votes

PA-06

20 votes

WA-08

6 votes

Other

4 votes

What the GOP might be up to in NY-20

LeftistAddiction

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Thursday April 23, 2009 · 6:47 AM PDT

2009/04/23 · 06:47

Those who follow NY-20 must have seen the latest headlines: Scott Murphy has increased his lead to 365 votes as Warren County counted some of the challenged ballots, making it even more difficult to figure out how in the world Tedisco could pull off a comeback.

The second recent development: Yesterday, Judge Brands overturned his own ruling from last week sided with Tedisco, ruling that the GOP was allowed to challenge ballots on a case-by-case basis. (Many of the GOP's challenges concern voters who have a second residence outside of the district.)

LeftistAddiction

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Monday April 06, 2009 · 4:36 PM PDT

2009/04/06 · 16:36

We've been waiting for 6 days to get a result in NY-20, and we could finally get some answers in the coming days. A court ruled today that absentee ballots could start being counted on Wednesday. (Republicans were arguing that counties should have to wait until all absentee ballots come in next week.)

LeftistAddiction

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Thursday February 19, 2009 · 1:28 PM PST

2009/02/19 · 13:28

This post is cross-posted from my blog, Campaign Diaries. There has been little talk of this in the media, though it could have big consequences and boost California moderates at the expense of liberals and conservatives.

In the early hours of this morning, the Golden State managed to avoid a meltdown: A deal was finally struck, a mix of tax hikes and program cuts that garnered enough Republican support for the state legislature to pass the budget. But the compromise contained a last-minute addition that, if implemented, would dramatically alter California’s election system, endanger dozens of safe incumbents, boost moderates and potentially open the door to third parties: a two-round election system.

LeftistAddiction

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Wednesday February 04, 2009 · 5:39 AM PST

2009/02/04 · 05:39

The Minnesota race is as confusing as ever, and many people (from what I've read) aren't really sure what to make of yesterday's rulings! And there is reason to be confused: asked to settle the heated issue of the improperly rejected absentee ballots, the court handed both camps a partial victory - a development that keeps the situation just as confusing as it has been for the past three months!

I posted an analysis of the situation - how we got here, what the ruling means - on Campaign Diaries, and I am cross-posting it here in case anyone else is confused about Minnesota!

LeftistAddiction

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Tuesday November 18, 2008 · 8:53 AM PST

2008/11/18 · 08:53

As most of you remember, daily early voting statistics had become as addictive as the latest polling data in the run up to November 4th.

Well, we can now go through it again: Early voting started yesterday in Georgia, and the state's SoS website is publishing early voting statistics daily (link).

LeftistAddiction

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Friday November 14, 2008 · 10:31 PM PST

2008/11/14 · 22:31

This was cross-posted on my blog, at Campaign Diaries. There is a lot of confusion about CA-04 and AK-Sen, so this is an attempt to look at what remains to be counted. (Also posted today, a look at the impact of Obama's Cabinet appointments on the 2010 landscape.)

When the Alaska's Division of Election finally updated their totals this evening, it was once again Mark Begich who gained the most, extending his lead from 814 to 1022 votes (or 0.35%).

LeftistAddiction

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Saturday November 01, 2008 · 1:21 PM PDT

2008/11/01 · 13:21

This has been posted on my blog, at Campaign Diaries, but I thought it might interest House junkies here too! You can also check my gubernatorial ratings and my senatorial ratings.

It is hard to believe that there are only three full days of campaigning let before Election Day, but in a number of districts the die might already have been cast due to the high proportion of voters who have already cast their ballot. The results might very well have already been decided, for instance, in NV-02, NV-03, OR-05, NC-08 or CO-04.

LeftistAddiction

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Monday October 27, 2008 · 3:05 PM PDT

2008/10/27 · 15:05

The new Rasmussen polls that were just released find some great news for Obama who continues to gain, especially in FL and in OH that swing back to him after narrow McCain leads last week!

However, the trend line favors McCain in Virginia, Colorado and Missouri - though Obama stays on top in each of the states.

Remember that as long as Obama wins Pennsylvania (as is likely) he only needs to win one of these states.

LeftistAddiction

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Wednesday October 22, 2008 · 1:05 PM PDT

2008/10/22 · 13:05

CNN/Time just released their latest wave of polls from red states and they have great news for Democrats. The numbers are essentially the same as they were a week ago in most of the states, and Obama leads outside of the margin of error in three of them.

LeftistAddiction

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Monday October 20, 2008 · 3:39 PM PDT

2008/10/20 · 15:39

John King just said on CNN that the McCain campaign no longer thinks it can win Colorado and is giving up along with Iowa and New Mexico.

LeftistAddiction

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Saturday October 18, 2008 · 10:17 PM PDT

2008/10/18 · 22:17

Zogby just released his latest tracking poll: Obama leads 47.8% to 45.1%.

Yesterday, Obama led 48.3% to 44.4%.

BUT the internals clearly show why the poll is flawed.

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New House ratings show 18 GOP seats in toss-up/lean categories Add to Hotlist

What the GOP might be up to in NY-20

NY-20: County breakdown of absentee ballots favors Murphy

CA legislature adopts "open primary:" Understanding the huge implications

Making sense of the latest court rulings in MN-Sen

1st numbers from Georgia's early voting: Af-Am turnout down

AK-Sen, CA-04: What remains to be counted (Update: OH-15, VA-05)

Full House ratings: Republicans in grave trouble

Rasmussen: Obama leads in FL, OH, MO, CO, VA

CNN/Time: Obama leads in OH, NV, NC and VA

John King: McCain giving up on Colorado

New ZOGBY: 48-45, internals make little sense