VA-SEN: Tom Davis (R) Reserving Web Space

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Wednesday July 11, 2007 · 3:27 PM PDT

2007/07/11 · 15:27

According to The Washington Examiner it looks like Tom Davis (R-VA) of the 11th district (All of Fairfax City and parts of Fairfax County and Prince William County) has reserved web space for a Senate run in 2008. It seems as if John Warner may have privately told him that he is retiring in 2008. If this is the case then it seems as if VA may host another competitive Senate race in 2008.

More beneath the fold

jiacinto

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Sunday June 03, 2007 · 4:34 PM PDT

2007/06/03 · 16:34

Note: This is an update to a thread that I wrote in February, where I address the 2008 Presidential Election.

As we are now headed into a presidential season I thought that I would analyze the Keys to the Presidency. This formula, designed by AU Professor Allan Lichtman (full disclosure: he ran for US Senate as a Democrat in 2006 in the MD primary, but lost. However, this book was written well before he ran for office), predicts who wins and loses elections. The theory behind the keys is that Lichtman believes that campaigns don't matter.

There are thirteen keys. For an incumbent president to win he must not lose more than five keys. For the challenging party to win its candidate must have more than six. Beneath the fold I will address each key.

jiacinto

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Monday April 30, 2007 · 6:29 PM PDT

2007/04/30 · 18:29

I have been busy with work lately and haven't had time to write. However, as I have been thinking, this is a post that I have been wanting to write for a long time. I have some free time tonight, so I will write it.

First of all, as many of you know, I don't see myself as an activist. I am probably more moderate than many people here would like me to, but my greatest contribution has been in analyzing races in competitive states and districts.

And this is what I will do in this thread beneath the fold.

jiacinto

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Thursday April 19, 2007 · 6:12 PM PDT

2007/04/19 · 18:12

Well I was outraged by the decision. Although admittedly not keen on abortion, I found the 5-4 decision rendered by the court to be wrong on so many levels. As most people know partial birth abortion occurs primarily when the mother is going to die and the baby has a sever condition like hydrocephlous.

I had some thoughts about it. I will describe them beneath the fold.

jiacinto

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Saturday April 07, 2007 · 5:03 PM PDT

2007/04/07 · 17:03

So now the MD legislature is trying to pass a bill that enables illegal immigrants to receive in-state tuition. The reason that I am writing about this issues is because I am angered by the proposal. It seems to be an insult to hard-working Marylanders, who play by the rules, and pay their taxes.

More beneath the fold.

UPDATE: Per request this article highlights the controversy

jiacinto

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Saturday March 31, 2007 · 4:54 PM PDT

2007/03/31 · 16:54

My story is nowhere as tragic as the ones that NYCEve has posted here, but I do want to mention something that just happened to me. I have to have a prescription temporarily until the doctor fixes what is wrong. This is a cream I need to mitigate against irritation.

Anyway, though, I have only a day and a half's supply left. So I called my CVS and the autorefill system won't fill it. I call the pharmacist and get a live voice. More beneath the fold

jiacinto

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Monday March 26, 2007 · 3:09 PM PDT

2007/03/26 · 15:09

So today, in my email, I get an email from the DNC research department asking me to donate money. I am not in a position to donate money, so I didn't. However, the email describes opposition research efforts. Then I realized something: the only thing that the email does is ask for money. It doesn't ask the country's population of registered Democrats out there to participate in any other way. This is a problem.

More beneath the fold.

jiacinto

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Saturday March 03, 2007 · 7:25 PM PST

2007/03/03 · 19:25

I admit that this is a nonpolitical diary, but I have always been intrigued with language on some level. I am trying to learn new foreign languages. I want to speak obscure languages that only a few people in the world speak. I think that it would be cool to speak some obscure African language that no one else can understand.

More beneath the fold.

jiacinto

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Wednesday February 28, 2007 · 5:59 PM PST

2007/02/28 · 17:59

So I finally finished that book. I liked it better than Eric Alterman's "What Liberal Media". I am going to write about some of my reactions to the book. I found it extremely interesting and well-researched.

However, as I have finished the book, I have one issue of criticism. The book does an excellent job of idenitfying the problem of the media, but it offers no solutions of how to change the structural imbalances that exist in the media system.

More beneath the fold.

jiacinto

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Sunday February 25, 2007 · 4:11 PM PST

2007/02/25 · 16:11

Tally wrote an interesting diary a few days ago about the 2006 election in Florida, analyzing why Alex Sink and Bill Nelson won in 2007. I noticed something interesting, and maybe some FL Kossacks can share insight.

People claim that the I-4 area in the state swings elections. However, I looked at some of the counties that he highlighted, and I noticed something about the counties in the Middle Panhnalde. Although they are small in population, they seem to have played a significant role in picking successful statewide Democratic candidates.

More beneath the fold.

jiacinto

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Wednesday February 21, 2007 · 2:07 PM PST

2007/02/21 · 14:07

Today Oprah just had a show about child molestation. One of the guests on the show was Bill O'Reilly, who attacked the state of Vermont for not passing tough laws against sex offenders. O'Reilly urged fathers to tell their children that "they will protect them against sex offenders".

Anyway, though, as I was watching the show, I was hoping for Oprah to ask him about the comments that O'Reilly made about the young men who were kidnapped in MO a month ago. I wanted to hear her ask him about why he thought it was okay to attack the victims.

jiacinto

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Saturday February 17, 2007 · 6:43 AM PST

2007/02/17 · 06:43

So, over the last few nights, when I have been commuting home from my job, I have been listening to WMAL. WMAL is an AM radio station in the DC area. I also listen during my lunch break and I am shocked at how the station has turned to the very far right.

The WMAL that I see today is nothing like the WMAL that I grew up listening to. WMAL has completely become a right-wing station. More beneath the fold.

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VA-SEN: Tom Davis (R) Reserving Web Space

The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency

The Embers of 1968

My Reaction to the "Partial Birth Abortion" (Intact D&E) Case

Illegal Immigration and the University of MD

Health Care

DNC Fundraising Solicitation

Languages

The Republican Noise Machine

Florida Swing Counties

O'Reilly Just on Oprah

Talk Radio